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410400+ entries in 0.09s
mircea_popescu: on the other hand... last week it went 100 to 260
mircea_popescu: well yeah
mircea_popescu: but i am loath to change it because i have never done so yet.
mircea_popescu: well it also is motherfcucking insane on a stick.
mircea_popescu: now it's 0.26 so based on the volatility we could say bot is hinting at interest rates over 50% per month.
mircea_popescu: now, exactly how much he considers that cutorff to be... in many months it was 0.02 or 0.03 etc.
mircea_popescu: this is an artefact of how the bot is financed, not a mispricing per se,.
mircea_popescu: ie, padding the book.
mircea_popescu: he could theoretically buy 10k calls for 10 BTC total, so at 0,001 and then get 25 btc for his b ond
mircea_popescu: if someone ahs a bond in at say 25% and there are 10k btc at lower % than him
mircea_popescu: i mean this : each call sold counts as 1 BTC in the needed capital.
mircea_popescu: bot has a "won't sell a call for under X" to protect the book from padding. this because of the open auction style of the bonds financing it. you understand what i mean ?
mircea_popescu: cause it won't sell a call for under x.
mircea_popescu: they are just very expensive to my eyes. but it's what bot thinks.
mircea_popescu: pgp i wouldn't say mispriced necessarily.
mircea_popescu: that's somewhat to be expected.
mircea_popescu: pgp his point is valid tho, should never be quoting above 1. rough edge there.
mircea_popescu: haha wd.
mircea_popescu: we're still working to mapping out this entire thing, it's not exactly a trivial task
mircea_popescu: and based on the past history it had an engine made. as i said yest, i think security and pricing got melded together in some edge cases
mircea_popescu: the bot was born august 2011ish,
mircea_popescu: joecool : the bot wasn't there then
mircea_popescu: "i have spent 8 years in romania, and im shocked that this mind is coming from this country :)"
mircea_popescu: meanwhile over at my blog
mircea_popescu: the sort of drop it's seen (260 -> 50) makes it think the world is ending really.
mircea_popescu: yeah
mircea_popescu: otherwise it's no longer equivalent
mircea_popescu: yeah well that formula only works for ask < 1
mircea_popescu: whatever that means.
mircea_popescu: it's above infinity.
mircea_popescu: Namworld it's not even negative.
mircea_popescu: Namworld i'm aware the bot is in "we've been attacked by aliens" mode.
mircea_popescu: pigeons hater.
mircea_popescu: of mtgox announcing
mircea_popescu: Skarr_ you got the link ?
mircea_popescu: pgp no, they did i think
mircea_popescu: taub volume is still 0
mircea_popescu: pgp i might be confused, but afaik it was announced as already done
mircea_popescu: Skarr_ no no. you can't make the order at all if not funded.
mircea_popescu: (it was a "great success" style pr communique, yes)
mircea_popescu: no more pending orders.
mircea_popescu: but they changed it a coupla days ago.
mircea_popescu: Skarr_ this is how it used to be
mircea_popescu: so basically... there's two things here. what are you discussing, the exchanges or the web selfserve brokers ?
mircea_popescu: no exchange will tolerate this. any order placed is firm and executed.
mircea_popescu: gesell most websites (etrade etc) will allow you to place any set of orders you wish.
mircea_popescu: so far they're the #1 black eye.
mircea_popescu: they have.
mircea_popescu: unfortunate for them that the 3-4 people who fit the bill and are in btc can't stand them
mircea_popescu: they desperately need to hire somebody who knows wtf trading is and obey them.
mircea_popescu: 0.0
mircea_popescu: t handle > 1 trade/second
mircea_popescu: i could see why in this architecture they couldn'
mircea_popescu: with some badly chosen transforms
mircea_popescu: basically from what can be seen from the outside they take each order and do a mysql select against the entire book
mircea_popescu: gesell eh ?!
mircea_popescu: more memory is a moot point per se.
mircea_popescu: it's ridiculous tho, this is not 1995.
mircea_popescu: i have raid 1+0 ssd's, they're probably faster than their ram
mircea_popescu: as if theres a difference
mircea_popescu: so far what they've done is they've got a 128gbserver to run their shit in ram
mircea_popescu: im magical like that.
mircea_popescu: yea
mircea_popescu: yeah they've locked btcwithdrawals for unverified accts.
mircea_popescu: nope i've not./
mircea_popescu: is it titled "i am a fractional reserve ask me anything" ?
mircea_popescu: no they can't.
mircea_popescu: gesell which part ?
mircea_popescu: if this isn't a scam toppling over i don't know what is.
mircea_popescu: ie, advertising so as to get more noobs deposited.
mircea_popescu: and totally pulling a bfl
mircea_popescu: basically mtgox is keeping all funds hostage.
mircea_popescu: deposits flushed again.
mircea_popescu: duh.
mircea_popescu: lol korea fag has a phone and a video game
mircea_popescu: in other news, bitbet over 6k btc bet
mircea_popescu: seems legit.
mircea_popescu: Volume 0
mircea_popescu: lol silver got usagi'd ?
mircea_popescu: sadly we're not quite there yet.
mircea_popescu: MJR_ i was explaining a month or two ago how to get a fixing market for btc.
mircea_popescu: starting an exchange is nonsense imo. just trade.
mircea_popescu: or some other decentralised solution like that.
mircea_popescu: Doffx a concerted effort to push local bitcoins would be great i guess.
mircea_popescu: anyone else ?
mircea_popescu: 502 Bad Gateway
mircea_popescu: otherwise the merchants will get fucked, not want to try it again
mircea_popescu: Doffx brainz first.
mircea_popescu: now that's a good idea.
mircea_popescu: the full experience of success victimization ?
mircea_popescu: bitcoin needs less investment of capital, moar brainz
mircea_popescu: lol
mircea_popescu: jborkl this success...
mircea_popescu: alrighty so there's your chance.
mircea_popescu: so were you looking to buy something or just get heartbroken whenever bot's away ?
mircea_popescu: you two got a real thing going huh.
mircea_popescu: or was. heh i guess we've been chatting for ten minutes here.
mircea_popescu: tho i've just looked and it's quoting nao.
mircea_popescu: jborkl i've had issues with the bot not quoting these past days because it couldn't get the price feed and other data.
mircea_popescu: i thought you wanted the btccharts json