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mircea_popescu: cads you'll never be popular with the fiat-finance crowds,
mircea_popescu: nevertheless it includes by reference enough material.
mircea_popescu: (because you see, everything is in the torah, including the birthdate of your future wife you;ve not yet met, as well as the name of her secret lover)
mircea_popescu: the kabbalistic approach is to use them in the manner global warmists use their "data"
mircea_popescu: cads except that's the correct way to use numeric methods
mircea_popescu: which all amount to basically "let's find the parametric function of the future" or meaning or w/e
mircea_popescu: benkay you familiar with how if you read only the nth letter in an arbitrary string you may find a message in there ?
mircea_popescu: benkay but dja know what the kabbalist ppl mostly do ?
mircea_popescu: benkay what do you think numeric/quantitative methods are ?
mircea_popescu: the volatility in this chan is fantasitc, not two hours ago we were discussing the new and improved ordering whereby you get more phonenumber with your order,
mircea_popescu: this remains true no matter how breathtakingly beautiful, elegant or symetrical they be.
mircea_popescu: on which topic n taleb's stuff can't be sufficiently recommended i guess.
mircea_popescu: lest you end up believing your imagination has some bearing on reality.
mircea_popescu: bear in mind that quants are idiots tho. always important to keep this clearly in your head
mircea_popescu: nanotube where does gribble get ;;ticker --market btcavg data from ?
mircea_popescu: because i am currently carrying a shitton of puts, which i would contractually be allowed to execute at the 430 bs bitcoincharts price
mircea_popescu: of course...this opnes up a fucking conundrum from hell,
mircea_popescu: by being in -assets i get the chance to learn how mpoebot etc actually work.
mircea_popescu: kakobrekla because then somehow (?!) the bitcoincharts avg came out as 537
mircea_popescu: anyway, mpoebot isn't quoting because the derivation among exchanges is too large, and likely won't until this is resolved somehow.
mircea_popescu: it accounted for cases i duly forgot about and then happened
mircea_popescu: at a time long ago when nobody had heard of such a case or imagined it likely.
mircea_popescu: benkay the sad part of this of course being that this is actually according to spec i wrote myself.
mircea_popescu: well fuck me am i supposed to know all this code these people write all the time everywhere omfgbbq
mircea_popescu: turns out bugpowder is exactly right. bot actually isn't quoting because feeds disagree not because it couldn't get them.
☟︎ mircea_popescu: dude did bitcoincharts split the feeds or something wtf is going on here.
mircea_popescu: ThickAsThieves i just gave you above a list of last times it quoted!
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder srsly, mtgox is not even in the feed of bitcoincharts, since days ago.
mircea_popescu: 13924429xx ; 13924424xx ; 13924419xx ; 13924414xx ; 13924408xx ; 13924408xx ; 13924408xx ; 13924403xx ; 13924403xx ; 13923763xx ; 13923724xx ; 13923716xx
mircea_popescu: not that i know, but i suppose it's becoming more useful.
mircea_popescu: the bot doesn't have to quote any more than you do. where's your quote on options ?
mircea_popescu: ThickAsThieves dude wtf are you talking about srsly. what is the connection there ?
mircea_popescu: but yeah, quoting outages are temporary, people (who don't generally trade) like to bitch/find conspiraci explanations for otherwise random events.
mircea_popescu: cuz it's a fucking hassle to fiddle with its feed, it being hardened ;/
mircea_popescu: so it can't possibly a) look good or bad b) make mpex anything.
mircea_popescu: and that the bot is a private offering which is in principle not required to offer anyone any convenience other than its backers.
mircea_popescu: i am saying that mpex allows people to trade whether the bot quotes or doesn't quote,
mircea_popescu: ThickAsThieves no particular requirement one can't just trade as is you know ?
mircea_popescu: yeah well in this process any data can be fit to any hypothesis.
mircea_popescu: how would it have been sweet yest anyway ? seem sthe price dropped.
mircea_popescu: i think there may be a cascading effect where if it misses one it asks too often and then it gets banned for an interval