log☇︎
324500+ entries in 0.193s
nubbins`: Should BitBet fail to execute this Agreement, as for instance by but not limited to breaching 3.2.h above, MPEx will notify the named individuals of their breach and may, at its sole discretion, suspend the asset from trading thus activating the liquidation of the asset.
adlai is fairly certain bitbet has been "mixing bets" for ~ever. isn't this how the whole "bitbet as tumbler" story was supposed to work? ie, the blockchain tells a different story than the addresses listed on the site
PeterL: nubbins` payout from inputs is good for transparency, but it would be perfectly legitimate for bitbet to send all funds to one address and then make all payouts from the same address
assbot: The greatly anticipated BitBet (S.BBET) February 2016 Statement on Trilema - A blog by Mircea Popescu. ... ( http://bit.ly/1LamWrs )
nubbins`: adlai yes, the refusal to admit the mistake is what's constituting the fraud.
adlai: nubbins`: it does change the picture from "fraud! abdication! blood of tyrants!" to "mp made a mistake when acting as coin-handler for a corporation"
nubbins`: it shares many letters with the word pizza
asciilifeform: nubbins`: what does the listing agreement say re: what to do, as a shareholder, if you think mp has been afflicted by martian brain parasites and broke the agreement ?
nubbins`: and there's a name for an operation that pays cashouts from more recent takings
nubbins`: adlai i don't think that mixing bets like salad paints a prettier picture.
nubbins`: even if it'd worked, he still would have been introducing a private expense to bitbet's books and then paying himself back from A* inputs, which still breaks the listing agreement
assbot: Logged on 07-03-2016 16:50:24; adlai: nubbins`: couldn't the inputs of B have been from other bets? maybe not how "bettors have come to expect" payouts would work, but not strictly speaking funds which don't belong to s.bbet
asciilifeform: anyway i have no idea if mircea_popescu send the 'doubles' because he was pissed and mashing keys, or if he forgot that most of the node network is run by imbeciles who go by chronology to 'resolve doublespend', or what. ask him, not me.
asciilifeform: where he had to use mysterymeat input of his own
PeterL: but in any case not send txn B until txn A has been resolved
nubbins`: don't make me dig up examples of bets that took a week to resolve
asciilifeform: nubbins`: i thought your objection was precisely to a4
asciilifeform: what was bbet (or mircea_popescu at the console, or imagine youself there instead) do instead ?
nubbins`: if he'd gone straight from A1 to A4 we'd probably all be drinking soda together now
asciilifeform: and then do what? eat pistol ?
PeterL: or double spend the outputs (and get a miner to include) before sending txn B
nubbins`: while the backlog is still huge.
nubbins`: with the same inputs.
nubbins`: or send another turbo low fee transaction 12 hours later.
PeterL: well, either wait for the first transactio
asciilifeform: so he sends A1, and notices that it is in limbo.
nubbins`: asciilifeform well then!
adlai: nubbins`: couldn't the inputs of B have been from other bets? maybe not how "bettors have come to expect" payouts would work, but not strictly speaking funds which don't belong to s.bbet ☟︎
nubbins`: asciilifeform if i send $7,000 cash in the mail, i don't let the post office choose the delivery standard
asciilifeform: nubbins`: this is not true, see the onetimepad thread, mp admitted that he made an arithmetical mistake once !
PeterL: asciilifeform but sending the second txn was pure idiocy, since he had no way of knowing the first would not also be mined
nubbins`: the hilarity that's ensued today is me proving this to the point of ridiculousness
nubbins`: PeterL i don't think you understand how this place works
PeterL: but how is mircea_popescu going to address the concerns if he ignores the people who raise them?
asciilifeform: nubbins`: my current hypothesis is that he did not intend a reactor test, but simply allowed the transmitter to calculate a default fee, which turned out to be 0, and sent.
nubbins`: PeterL i think it's fairly obvious that customer payouts are zero priority, given the 0-fee payout attempt followed by a payout embargo
dooglus: I suspect that's the client's fault - used to be that high-priority inputs meant you didn't need a fee
nubbins`: all these maybes, and more, to be left unaddressed -- stay tuned!
PeterL: maybe just never send 0fee txn, because customer payouts should be a priority?
nubbins`: maybe bitbet shouldn't be sending 0-fee transactions when there's a massive mempool backlog!
nubbins`: hey, i bet and have a node too
PeterL: <mircea_popescu> by this measure, there's a large overlap between all sorts of things. maybe there is, sure. << it only takes one, and I bet and have a node, therefore it might have been me too
nubbins`: dooglus in the absence of proof, i'd assume that they were sent to the same nodes
dooglus: if A1 and A2 went to non-overlapping sets of nodes then A2 should have been accepted and mined, right? ☟︎
nubbins`: that'd be turbo embarassing
nubbins`: hope there's nothing wrong with the financials
nubbins`: still no response to allegations!
mircea_popescu: by this measure, there's a large overlap between all sorts of things. maybe there is, sure.
PeterL: well, there is probably a large overlap between bettors and people running nodes, since these are people who have an interest in the bitcoin network working so they can get paid
nubbins`: "to a non-overlapping set of nodes" -- aha! he's found an out that he hasn't used yet -- the nodes weren't overlapping now, see?!
mircea_popescu: and then we do this a coupla more times, and so on.
nubbins`: except for B, where one of the outputs went back to you because it was your money, not bitbet's
mircea_popescu: let's move on to the next step. THEN, MP broadcast A2, which HAD a fee. to a non-overlapping set of nodes. the disjunction of the two sets had a perfectly valid txn they... also didn't broadcast, because magic reasons.
mircea_popescu: all the outputs go to bet winners.
nubbins`: PeterL one person watching one of the 23 outputs, yes
PeterL: so there are what, 23 outputs or so? and it would take just one of them seeing the txn to hold onto it
nubbins`: surely he couldn't just add the pubkey.
mircea_popescu: well... if it's not a bettor then "for them A1 credits one of their addresses and so it sticks around forever for them" doesn't stick anymore.
dooglus: "bettor" could be replaced by "anyone who wants to fuck MP over" I guess if you want to increase the probability somewhat
nubbins`: yes, that's right, payouts are on indefinite hiatus because paying 9 cents tx fee isn't a solution
nubbins`: ^ just to put everyone at ease even though payouts are on indefinite hiatus, here's a 10 btc house bet
gribble: remove bettor from the statement, it's falsely constricting
nubbins`: ;;echo remove bettor from the statement, it's falsely constricting
mircea_popescu: as it isn't, per your theory, the case that "Whole world saw". just the set in question.
mircea_popescu: so far, we're with the assumption that "bettor with incentive was running one or more of the nodes mp connected to".
mircea_popescu: depends what code they run, but this could well be.
nubbins`: dooglus i've been saying this since the first minute, but he just won't listen
nubbins`: PeterL that's sort of the way it is
dooglus: they won't tell you they saw it - it was 0 fee, so won't be relayed to anyone
PeterL: mircea_popescu you seem to be making some big assumptions and plugging your ears whenever anybody questions them
mircea_popescu: i thought i had, yes.
dooglus: everyone you sent it to saw it. Didn't you broadcast it to ~100 nodes?
mircea_popescu: see, the problem with assumptions is - making them.
nubbins`: ^ you have no way of proving that
PeterL: A1 you sent out to the world, everybody listening saw it
dooglus: the winners wouldn't have seen A1 vanish after 48h or whatever the mempool lifetime is; for them A1 credits one of their addresses and so it sticks around forever for them
nubbins`: you're assuming the bitbet broadcast node is covert.
mircea_popescu: at that time, it was yet invisible.
mircea_popescu: HOW did they see it ?
nubbins`: dooglus logic has no place in this discussion
dooglus: maybe that node was connected when you broadcast the first time, turned off, and reconnected 8 days later << or maybe one of the winners of the bet saw he had been paid and rebroadcast A1 so he could get paid again; that seems like the most obvious motivation for rebroadcasting A1
gribble: no, it tells everyone what you think you saw, and as we've seen today, what you think you saw couldn't fill a hat.
nubbins`: ;;echo no, it tells everyone what you think you saw, and as we've seen today, what you think you saw couldn't fill a hat.
PeterL: withholding txn, sitting on txn, not the same thing
nubbins`: oh, wait, that lines up with the fucking facts
mircea_popescu: also trivially meets the definition of "withholding txn", but w/e.
nubbins`: PeterL imagine how high the priority would be on A1 by the time it makes it to the front of the mempool queue
mircea_popescu: but, sure, "experience of that fraction of bitbet that does payouts", is right.
PeterL: and maybe that node was connected when you broadcast the first time, turned off, and reconnected 8 days later, at which point it rebroadcast the txn?
mircea_popescu: kakobrekla it does not tell everyone what "i think", it tells everyone what i saw.
assbot: Logged on 07-03-2016 16:24:11; mircea_popescu: but in any case, there is a substantial difference between "i think X on the basis of my personal experience" and "mp said x on the basis of bitbet experience as documented on qntra". exactly of the sort and caliber as the difference between "i think there exist alien" and "here's pictures of man walking on the moon", in fact.
kakobrekla: http://log.bitcoin-assets.com/?date=07-03-2016#1424891 < this is not so. it was not bitbet experience (for example i was not even aware of any of it) and publishing your interpretation on qntra does not assert absolute truth, it just tells everyone who reads it what you think. ☝︎☟︎☟︎
PeterL: it would only take one node holding onto the txn for it to be rebroadcast
nubbins`: oh, wait, that's fucking retarded
nubbins`: that way he can tell what transactions other nodes are aware of but are not rebroadcasting
nubbins`: he sends a special packet and the node dumps its mempool, json format
mircea_popescu: i looked into whatever i looked sufficient to satisfy myself.
PeterL: did you go look into the mempool of every node?
nubbins`: and you wonder why i have zero interest in "doing up a blog post" or whatever masturbatory navel-gazing bullshit is somehow better than explaining it real-time
mircea_popescu: how do YOU know what the code says ?