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315700+ entries in 2.442s
mircea_popescu: actually... this is interesting. from a purely fiat perspective mpoe bonds may be one of the best btc-investments you can make.
mircea_popescu: jurov that is a point, in fiat terms the bondholders made money :D
mircea_popescu: if you have 105 btc and put 100 btc into mpoe bonds expect a wild ride.
mircea_popescu: diversification certainly is a solution, yes.
thestrin1puller: mircea_popescu: for instance I put x BTC in Bonds during a bad month, but some other investment say, S.DICE growth, effectively neutralizes my bond losses
thestrin1puller: Hmm. mircea_popescu could one externally hedge risks of being a bondholder with other investments no?
gribble: Error: "bc,24hprc" is not a valid command.
mircea_popescu: now "people" are confronted with the rude awakening of reality. kinda bound to be a little thrashing about.
thestrin1puller: mircea_popescu you make a bunch of people rich this month, and people still complain...
mircea_popescu: at least a year.
mircea_popescu: it's a romanian-based llc (srl in romanian) that i own ~99% of
mircea_popescu: thestrin1puller no. i paid twennyfive dollars for a girls pair of stockings out of pocket yesterday.
thestrin1puller: I know they are, this month they are, just like an insurance company loses money during a natural disaster...
thestrin1puller: Maybe he'll start a company to benefit bitcoin (yay optimism LOL)
mircea_popescu: bitesak i'd normally say my pleasure... but this month was a little rough.
mircea_popescu: thestrin1puller ya, there's a notice.
mircea_popescu: it will make sense again in about a week.
benkay: we are engaging in a discussion of this topic, yes
benkay: thanks mp, i understand the mechanism a little better now. what I still don't understand is what the MPOE bot is up to.
mircea_popescu: the only way to actually underwrite this is to have a lot of money, sign insurance policies with the farmers.
mircea_popescu: if there's a flood plain and farmers work that plain,
mircea_popescu: okay. the bot itself is a primary seller of safety in btc.
mircea_popescu: mpex does offer stocks, but that's not under discussion here. as for the derivative trade, ie options, these are a different market from the underlying.
mircea_popescu: a bucket shop is a currently illegal, historically popular venue to take side bets on stocks.
benkay: would you elaborate on what a bucket shop is and why MPEx is not that?
taub: in forex i thought it was, a broker taht assumes most of their customers are gonna lose money
mircea_popescu: that;'s not what a bucket shop is.
mircea_popescu: how is it a bucket shop ?
taub: you're basically operating a bucket shop
mircea_popescu: just like a successful marriage.
Bugpowder: Mpex is a steady stream
mircea_popescu: <Bugpowder> Mpex is a sideshow <<< if it weren't for mpex there'd have been no divs this month at all.
thestrin1puller: I've used the same model for some of my real life ventures, it's a very good model in that you view capital as "equipment"
mircea_popescu: atm mpoe is a 0 capital venture, which is a good thing.
ThickAsThieves: a reserve
mircea_popescu: what's a warchest ?
thestrin1puller: mircea_popescu: why not create a war chest? For times like thse.
ThickAsThieves: its a troll
ThickAsThieves: thats not a question
mircea_popescu: as in, i don't set a %, i just take whatever the max was
thestrin1puller: as a last resort though
ThickAsThieves: the history of gained % seems a bit disproportionate to the risk
mircea_popescu: by a wide margin, with a lot of depth etc.
mircea_popescu: thestrin1puller well they don't really. the idea is they're taking on risk for a high %
mircea_popescu: when a hurricane hits the insurer pays through the teeth.
mircea_popescu: it's sort of like insurance, if you will. you pay a little every month
mircea_popescu: sometimes you'll take a beating.
mircea_popescu: listen, there's no way to make a bot so you always win.
mircea_popescu: then again... i guess i can see it. shareholders don't care, not their skin. made a 39 per which is not really much lower than usual
thestrin1puller: there is a 29k loss for bondholders, maybe bondholders aren't mpoe holders
OneMiner: It's a slow flood.
OneMiner: Just don't be rude about it. There's no reason to be a jerk.
OneMiner: Why is the whole internet a troll magnet? Be respectful, please.
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder anyway, the variance would be fucking high. +400% a month fml.
ThickAsThieves: right, so rather than litter this chan with bitching, I'm just asking what I think is a sensible question,
Bugpowder: Mpoe bonds never seemed like a good value prop To me.
ThickAsThieves: MPs losses are a small portion of his assets, but I have to assume he will asjust exposure of the bot after this, no?
Bugpowder: Anyway, have a wonderful weekend.
Bugpowder: Anyway, if you dont understand the risks of being a bond holder, you should probably go back to the gloves kiddy pool
ThickAsThieves: Pycho, you only lost a few hundred bux
Bugpowder: Mpex is a sideshow
Bugpowder: Historically it averages 12% return on notional exposure a month
taub: hm, maybe there wont be a big second downmove from here
mircea_popescu: ThickAsThieves why not just put a bid ?
pgp: question: MPEX support a socket based implementation for requesting trades from a certain seq number forward. Why isn't there something like that for quotes?
ThickAsThieves: unless you are a big player
ThickAsThieves: coinbr us actually a window into mpex
ThickAsThieves: there a several
Chaang-Noi: its a real wall
Chaang-Noi: a company to profit off of bitcoin drama, best idea evar
MJR_III: i think that award will be worth a lot in the future...i would like to be a recipient of the double cherry truck award, but i think that the moody's triple a rating will be slightly smoky dragon
mircea_popescu: by pointing out that they don't ger 500 bux for a vignette
MJR_III: i take it you are a recipient of the double cherry truck award?
MJR_III: and people who trade with each other a lot, its like your win can be their loss
mircea_popescu: fucking worth a million and a half i tell you
MJR_III: that is a huge ass wall at 92
Chaang-Noi: damn that is a wall...
taub: thats a lot of options :D
Diablo-D3: but I bought a bowl and everything :<
jborkl: just a one month deal
mircea_popescu: there's a lot of volume right at the edge of the rolling window
MJR_III: which can be a bottleneck
MJR_III: you could have a MUCH greater address pool
KRS1: ipv6 is just a transport mechanism not sure it would matter
MJR_III: i exercised at 71, what a sucker i am
jurov: mircea used vwap 90.34 ??? quite a boost we got there :P
MJR_III: it actually is not that bad of a position though...short at 90.50
MJR_III: the asa is actually a firewall right
KRS1: encryption adds a lot of overhead
MJR_III: so if you had a 100gb router (they exist) it could still be brought down
MJR_III: well, i think every piece of hardware will have a limit
KRS1: i know a bit about it being in IT but i'm not an expert in that area
KRS1: thats what my friend does for a living..he mitigates attacks
KRS1: you can filter it through a proxy
MJR_III: KRS1: a purely hardware overload
KRS1: i dont think there is such a thing MJR
MJR_III: mircea_popescu: so if its the router...if it just drops all but a certain subset of traffic, can it still be overloaded?
MJR_III: wish there was a better order interface
taub: bitfinex would work better if they would deploy on a more solid exchange
MJR_III: and i think you would be blocking their expensive attack with a cheap shield