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300500+ entries in 2.303s
mjr_: i think this is more similar to a Carry Trade, rather than an arbitrage
ThickAsThieves: new issues arise if you become a target though
mjr_: perhaps a bond of or something
mjr_: well, if i come up with a strategy that works, and can mathematically be shown where exactly my risks are
mjr_: or a random walk
mjr_: its closer to a standard deviation
mjr_: my calculations over the last year on a daily basis (365 data points) show a historical daily volatiltiy of 120
mjr_: but need to test a LOT before i try that
mjr_: if it looks, acts, and sounds like a currency
mjr_: that was an oblique reference to a harry potter fan fiction (LOL) in which harry is curious about the arbitrage possiblity between wizard gold and gold on the spot market in the muggle world
mjr_: now i have a question
mjr_: hmmm....i think that the bond has a symbol too, but i can't remember what
emptyeddepended: well in case of S.DICE it's a short cut for satoshi's dice
CheckDavid: I have a doubt about assets nomenclature
mjr_: yes SDR's are a great example
ThickAsThieves: so you don't see bitcoin as a the populous currency of the future?
mircea_popescu: but they make a poor standard, as they're not wealthy or socially needed.
mircea_popescu: i understand that the life of most consists of a daily struggle to produce "A little pocket change".
mircea_popescu: generally people keep a little pocket change.
mircea_popescu: "nuts fall, everone dies" is there for a reason.
ThickAsThieves: how to live a life of nuts?
mircea_popescu: only way to make it appear relevant is through a leap of faith, aka willing suspension of thought.
mircea_popescu: <ThickAsThieves> maybe there should be a btc-alliance, businesses that refuse to accept fiat << yeah. there is. everything i do.
emptyeddepended: a international business network would be nice
emptyeddepended: that's a huge step. i see another beneficial aspect of bitcoin, but yet there aren't enough merchants. i live in europe and a wire transfer to china to purchase goods is very delayed and expensive. bitcoin could do that in ease..
ThickAsThieves: we need a btc-based government
ThickAsThieves: however a refusal to take fiat is also a refusal to convert fiat into btc if you are paying out more btc than fiat as a company
ThickAsThieves: any service company that pays employees in btc is a start
emptyeddepended: look at AM. that's the closest thing we have right now, i'd say.. and i was happy to realize that. buy btc, trade stocks in btc, a whole company born through btc and they even sell btc related products for btc -- but if you substract mining (and financial instruments), there is nothing even close to that
ThickAsThieves: maybe there should be a btc-alliance, businesses that refuse to accept fiat
ThickAsThieves: or a closed loop
emptyeddepended: this is somehow inevitable without a closed loop
mjr_: but a small "farmers market" farmer
mjr_: not a corporate farmer
mjr_: the person who could do this best is a farmer i think
mjr_: hence my point about getting a complete business cycle to operate in btc
mjr_: i mean, if a bar COULD say, one jameson rocks is .05 bitcoin, now and tomorrow and next week
mjr_: i meant it is cool that someone is being a base
ThickAsThieves: not only do you need a totalyy btc business cycle, you need layers of it, and it probably boils down to some root fundamental i'm missingh
mjr_: if you could get a complete business cycle to work in bitcoin
mjr_: but no one uses it as a unit of account
ThickAsThieves: i think it's that bitcoin is a fiat-dependent economy
ThickAsThieves: but, yes, the money moving off exchanges is a decent theory,
mjr_: TBH there is a slightly increased inflationary effect
mjr_: coinbase is probably a buyer as well
ThickAsThieves: the joke being that what good is a ponzi without new bagholders?
mjr_: silk road (pretend they are taking the money) is a net buyer of bitcoins
ThickAsThieves: cash out some as a salary
mjr_: the way i try to look at it, is "is this company a net buyer or a net seller? if so, do they hold coins, or get rid of them immediately"
ThickAsThieves: and now ASICMINER holds a large chunk of stored value
mjr_: yeah, you could say that they are a dumper as well
mjr_: that would partially lend itself to a hedging strategy, which would require either futures or options...
mjr_: they should take their role, as a central flow of bitcoin and use it to stabilize
mjr_: not in a sinister way
mjr_: yeah, i had it when it was .03% a day
mjr_: I have a new theory by the way, on what has been going on with prices
mjr_: but not sure, its been a while
mjr_: 11% a year is fine i think
Namworld: It's a hashing speed. The bond basically pays the expected proceeds of X mhash/s of mining over the payment period.
mjr_: its a synthetic processing power
CheckDavid: what is a mhash/s payment?
Namworld: While a hashing bond is just that, a fixed X mhash/s payment at fixed intervals
Namworld: And this is a bond that does: https://btct.co/security/BTC-BOND
mircea_popescu: somehow people have come to believe homebrew is a better solution than the actual solution for some reason.
mircea_popescu: deprived has a variant too
Chaaang-Noi: <mircea_popescu> what we talkin' about ? you, and if you were a troll or not.
CheckDavid: That's apparently a bond that doens't pay principal?
matthew_boyd: He was referring to where a lot of trolling happens
matthew_boyd: It was a joke CheckDavid
CheckDavid: Mircea is a troll?
matthew_boyd: That's a bit of a paradox, seeing that that is uber childish as he is namedropping
matthew_boyd: "I swear some people (like goat) go around the forum looking for things to cry about. Seriously it is entertaining and yet sometimes annoying because it reminds me of how a young child does things."
Chaaang-Noi: if anyone enjoyed it, make a compint, i know im going to get all sorts of hate :)
matthew_boyd: "Your whining and crying on the forums doesn't exactly give off a mature tone."
Diablo-D3: no, a troll
CheckDavid: mircea is a woman?
Diablo-D3: man, that must take a lot of gpu power to do a vanity like that
matthew_boyd: holy shit, they are a good read!
mjr_: if only i worked in the M&A arm of a bitcoin investment bank
mjr_: i spent a lot of time hanging out on just-dice yesterday
Chaaang-Noi: yes, i have a job for you if you want it, ill pm you
Chaaang-Noi: but still bfl is what over a year behind?
gribble: The answer is a resounding no.
matthew_boyd: Yea, he has a staaaaaaash!
emptyeddepended: how do you spot a non-bitcoin-believer? watch out for "BitCoin"
rulother: What would you say would be a fair price? I'm just curious really, better to make something off it than nothing at all
rulother: I don't know about that, I would say with the seo easily a 1000
rulother: Its a site I developed, but don't really have time for anymore
MJR_III: or do you mean a domain name
MJR_III: or do you mean front end design for a website
MJR_III: is your website a business?
MJR_III: how do you mean selling a website
rulother: What would be the best to go about selling a website for btc? I know they're a few sites out, but they all seem pretty scattered
MJR_III: i thought that was a really cool way to do the betting pool
dub: op is dumber than a box of hammers
matthew_boyd: Dammit, it's a trap
Scrat: it has a dick
arij: its a trap
FabianB: unless it's a trap :)
Chaang-Noi: all he had done in a year is blcok the usa