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247500+ entries in 1.654s
BingoBoingo: alexsanjose: I severely doubt a count of server personel will happen. Hasn't happened for MPEx. Hasn't happened for S.NSA
mircea_popescu: TestingUnoDosTre wouldja consider getting a better nick ?
TestingUnoDosTre: how many bets does a bitbet bet if a bit bet could bet good?
benkay: ho a leak promise from mp
BingoBoingo: alexsanjose: If your are a shitty journalist it isn't because journalists are shit. It is because you chose Columbia over Mizzou.
moiety: benkay: i hope it's a gpg email
alexsanjose: one becomes a journalist bc one is bad at it
alexsanjose: so 10,000 bets, of 15,000 btc in a little over a year
mircea_popescu: incidentallyt, there've been a total of about 10k bets, so that's an upper bound
mircea_popescu: it's certainly more than a dozen cause at least a dozen diff people here bugged me abouyt it
mircea_popescu: benkay want a postmark ?
mircea_popescu: alexsanjose seriously, someone over at reuters has to eventually figure out how to create a gpg key, reg it with gribble, get in the wot.
mircea_popescu: kakobrekla because you see it's a different my when you talk about bitcoin wallets than persons.
BingoBoingo: There are a lot of ways this assumption could fork
alexsanjose: is there a way to estimate that if folks dont have their own accounts?
alexsanjose: cuz u were operating a full year
BingoBoingo: alexsanjose: Here's a writeup on some of the bigger bets in BitBet history for some perspective http://www.thedrinkingrecord.com/2014/03/16/interlude-the-big-bets/
mircea_popescu: say a bet started today ending next month with a 10:1 spread, you bet in 3 weeks on the 10 side.
mircea_popescu: generally happens when people bet very late on a widely dominating side.
BingoBoingo: Even the pettiest shit is betable if you can guarentee a starting stake
mircea_popescu: anyway, spent some time in san jose, originally landed there planing to stay a week, ended up staying like 3 years.
alexsanjose: is there a min or max for the bets?
BingoBoingo: Va a changarse
BingoBoingo: alexsanjose: I bet there and I submit bets to there. More than half of my submitted bets have been rejected. I' a regualr in this channel though.
alexsanjose: BingoBoingo, do u mind if i ask u what your role is w bitbet since u re kindly asnwering a bunch of my qs?
BingoBoingo: mircea_popescu: Of course it is. And the best practice for this is plato when he is modeling a drunk crowd in the dialogues.
alexsanjose: haha! and do u deliberately try to space out the bets so a tricle of them are coming due every week month etc?
alexsanjose: for example there is a way to say "my" when u mean "myhusband" and a different "my" for "my bitcoin wallet" cuz humans matter more
asciilifeform: today i lined up a bunch of inglischers and had them try reading Ro street signs, menus, etc. from photographs.
mircea_popescu: BingoBoingo you know it occurs to me it's probably like a particular cognitive skill, being able to follow irc convos. "disentagle a skein of thought" as the expression went.
alexsanjose: no its just interesting. for english speakers romance languages sorta open your world view when they teach u subjunctive and then the african languages is like a whol different kettle of fish
mircea_popescu: i think it's about 10% as a degree of magnitude
mircea_popescu: alexsanjose you know it's in the reports, there's a special line for advertising
artifexd: Hey, look at that. There's even a twitter feed that I can pull from.
BingoBoingo: alexsanjose: That bet I linked http://bitbet.us/bet/34/an-asic-unit-from-either-bfl-avalon-or/ gives a good dataset for understanding how successive bets affect bitbet winnings
mircea_popescu: http://www.alexalper.com/resume/ << check it out, the luddite has a dedicated website.
asciilifeform: i notice that the folks who are innocent of python et al can still work a spreadshit. somebody maybe post a spreadshit for them.
artifexd: Is there a feed or would I have to continually poll?
mircea_popescu: like an old bet i mean, with a lot of bets on it.
mircea_popescu: TestingUnoDosTre bounce artifexd mike_c and the rest of the supermath python gurus : maybe write a script that takes a bet and spits out the moving odds as the bets come in ?
alexsanjose: its february, 2015. obama has overlooked a growing trend and failed to mention those two syllables -- i lose 100 pct of the bet i placed, no?
asciilifeform: other fun feature, in my eyes, is that a prediction market has an... action market, 'inside, wiggling to get out.'
BingoBoingo: It's like a prediction market but sane
BingoBoingo: alexsanjose: You can place any amount. It may be easier if you go through the process of placing a position on BitBet. I can give/lend you a balance to do this depending on your agency's ethic's rules.
BingoBoingo: Through a respect for the immutability of actual history
BingoBoingo: Instead of accounts everything is merely a ledger balance, forced into the right place
BingoBoingo: alexsanjose: We're going to flip a coin.
asciilifeform: alexsanjose: it takes about the same titanic intellectual effort as operating... a lift.
alexsanjose: i m a consommate luddite
mircea_popescu: alexsanjose do you have a bitcoin wallet ?
alexsanjose: so i read the faq on the website, but can you walk me thru placing a bet?
mircea_popescu: i'm also worth a few million atc, i guess, which is a similar problem. what sort of business opportunity did i see there ?
mircea_popescu: bitcoin, which obviously isn't a currency.
mircea_popescu: alexsanjose i'm worth about a million give or take.
alexsanjose: but when u earn 1.19395524 BTC in March, a portion goes to shareholders, a portion to operations and a portion to u no?
alexsanjose: but what made you decide in jan 2013 that this would be a good business to get into?
mircea_popescu: it's a pattern, this.
mircea_popescu: at the time we made bitbet, there also existed a "competitor", i forget the exact thing
mircea_popescu: you're missing a lot of history. at the time i made mpex, there existed a "competitor", glbse. it was basically a scam, and has meanwhile died
alexsanjose: thats a primer on sniffing out fraud
alexsanjose: I saw it on a website that was evaluating bitcoin gambling sites
mircea_popescu: i'm a cofounder.
mircea_popescu: we just need to engineer him a blue eyed, goldilocks'd ballerina
BingoBoingo: thestringpuller: Why aren't you a grandpa?
thestringpuller: since rick is probably what I'd want to be if I were a grandpa
thestringpuller: asciilifeform: that's a compliment if I ever heard one
BingoBoingo: Given the number of shit shows and shit characters, the default assumption probably ought to be negative, but there is probably a positive bias because these things tend to happen on the basic that the characters were memorable
thestringpuller: in this case it's a good thing
thestringpuller: you remind me of a character from that show
asciilifeform: anyone who ever took part in the academia racket knows that 'anonymous referees' is a crock o'shit
mircea_popescu: "It is about time to abolish the immoral institution of `Anonymous Referee'. Even in the paper era, with its paper-mentality elitism, it was superfluous. A paper is either worth publishing or not. If it is not, you should have the guts to say it out loud, and if you are right, the author should thank you for saving him or her embarrassment."
mircea_popescu: BingoBoingo prolly has a pantryfull of golda meir stashed away.
kakobrekla: if not, try to bug someone on private (usually you can open a private window by doublecliking on the nickname)
asciilifeform: the brits already have a monstrosity where you breathe EtOH through a mask
BingoBoingo: asciilifeform: I had a suspicion you'd be the first person to bring the c-word into this
kakobrekla: alexsanjose , IRC is not always a real time thing, but once you get the conversation going its the best way to go
alexsanjose: not too good for a cocktail
alexsanjose: i m such a luddite
alexsanjose: would there be a way to sked a chat in here?
moiety: it's funny what's said about glass at coachella, when there was a giant snail going about filming everything
ThickAsThieves: they had that one day where anyone could buy a Google Glass, that was probably them cashing out
ThickAsThieves: "A massive computer failure at the US Executive Office for Immigration Review (EOIR) is reportedly wreaking havoc on US immigration courts, with application outages continuing well into their second week."
moiety: what a waste of wine
BingoBoingo: mircea_popescu: Indeed. That route of administration has a reputation for efficiency
mircea_popescu: BingoBoingo one chick i knew was on a half bottle of white wine anally pre-going to town diet for a while.
joecool: BingoBoingo: what are they using as a bulking agent, dextrose?
BingoBoingo: joecool: Well the bulk is necessary to render it a powder
joecool: i assume insufflation of alcohol would be a bad time, does it even matter to bulk it up?
BingoBoingo: Once the binders are accounted for that's probably still in the end 32 grams just to take a shot of vodka nasally.
mircea_popescu: "buy a bottle of angelina jolie's pussy air!"
BingoBoingo: It's physical properties preclude it from being as snortable as say... cocaine and heroin... because it takes quite a bit of alcohol by mass to induce the desired effect.
BingoBoingo: The weight is necessary, because alcohol is a substance
BingoBoingo: Basically you disolve the alcohol into a mix of sugars and higher molecular weight carbohydrates.
fluffypony: moiety: did you at least get a pink knitted jersey with the Bitcoin logo on it?
BingoBoingo: mircea_popescu: American gas grills typically top out around 600F at a cooking height above the burners. Because we suck. (problem can be remedied by using acetylene instead of propane
fluffypony ponders a 2am leftover rib snack
fluffypony: I'm with BingoBoingo on this one - if you're going to sear a steak...
BingoBoingo: benkay: Well hot enough for a proper sear.
fluffypony: benkay: gas is awesome for breakfast, nothing like a good morning fry-up
fluffypony: plus a charcoal braai is a South African tradition, we even have a public holiday that has become Braai Day (nfi what the actual holiday is for any longer)