log☇︎
1024800+ entries in 0.742s
Chaang-Noi: brendio i assume you will not pass anything to pirate about bond ownership?
Chaang-Noi: its a nice place to visit
Chaang-Noi: night live is okay, but i doubt worth flying to, lol
Chaang-Noi: why go then?
brendio: third time. Might see angkor war, might not. Already been twice :)
Chaang-Noi: going to see angkor wat i assume?
Chaang-Noi: your first time?
Chaang-Noi: thats not a bad town for a few nights
blazing: well i might hold onto it then
EB250: OK, time to go
mircea_popescu: blazing isn't it trading .1 / .3 ?
blazing: i have six tygrrbond-p bond for sale...sell at .8
EB250: 400+ to go?
blazing: so we wait till the 9th
EB250: no idea, I can not get in to the channel
blazing: ohok the 9th
blazing: did pirate make an announcement today?
EB250: 9th is the grand finale. Or is it today?
EB250: blazing: where did you get that idea?
EB250: no, I got few at 0.9 or close but this is just play money.
blazing: chaang-noi why would you want to buy pirate debt...i thought pirate is done
Chaang-Noi: i guess someone has to be:)
Chaang-Noi: anyone want to sell discounted pirate debt?
assbot: BDK [1@0.1BTC] paid: 0.0095545 BTC. Last price: 0.1 BTC. Capital gain: 0 BTC. Total: 0.0095545 BTC. (9.6%)
assbot: Requesting data from GLBSE (might take a while).
assbot: BDK [1@0.055BTC] paid: 0.0095545 BTC. Last price: 0.1 BTC. Capital gain: 0.045 BTC. Total: 0.0545545 BTC. (99.2%)
assbot: Requesting data from GLBSE (might take a while).
gribble: Best bid: 10.40016, Best ask: 10.45, Bid-ask spread: 0.04984, Last trade: 10.45, 24 hour volume: 39452, 24 hour low: 10.2, 24 hour high: 10.87563
assbot: BDK [1@1BTC] paid: 0.0095545 BTC. Last price: 0.1 BTC. Capital gain: -0.9 BTC. Total: -0.8904455 BTC. (-89%)
assbot: Requesting data from GLBSE (might take a while).
DeaDTerra: If anyone want to sell BDK, I am buying then for 0.12 each :)
gribble: Best bid: 10.26, Best ask: 10.3, Bid-ask spread: 0.04000, Last trade: 10.3, 24 hour volume: 38723, 24 hour low: 10.2, 24 hour high: 10.87699
mircea_popescu: still very low volume tho
gribble: Best bid: 10.251, Best ask: 10.3, Bid-ask spread: 0.04900, Last trade: 10.3, 24 hour volume: 38288, 24 hour low: 10.2, 24 hour high: 10.8785
mircea_popescu: (contracts are written so the owner can never sell more than half is shares, i dunno if you read them)
mircea_popescu: moreover, the fact that the owner retains a majority of shares seems to make this plan a losing proposition.
Ignatius-otc: yes, that is how I have seen it done in the penny stock world. it's dilution really...but without printing more shares
mircea_popescu: Ignatius-otc this would require you actually releasing false information or somesuch ? sort of like an insider trading job ?
Ignatius-otc: You have 20 shares. You sell 10 shares for 1 BTC each. "bad news" hits, and now you offer your remaining 10 shares at 0.5BTC. You buyback shares from paic sellers for a 25-75% discount. Took in 10 BTC from the original sale of 10 shares, used less than 10 BTC to buy back those 10 shares when a panic sell occured. Repeat the process...our price is at 0.5 BTC now, sell 10 shares for 0.5 BTC. "bad news", your remaining 10 shares are
BTC-Mining: nay, I do not know anything about terms
mircea_popescu: you know what the cost of opportunity is , right ?
mircea_popescu: mk. so at some later point in the future you shall have profited by the drop last week.
BTC-Mining: that's why I put them in a list... because they're not the same
mircea_popescu: are you talking about the future again ?
BTC-Mining: Going to be implemented on GLBSE
mircea_popescu: shorting and options aren't the same thing.
mircea_popescu: heh. so, if you had a margined acct and shorted ON MPEX you could have made a lot more there.
mircea_popescu: tho for instance if you made money on the recent giga move downwards on glbse
mircea_popescu: this seems to me a d'uh.
mircea_popescu: well obviously the higher the volumes the stabler the prices.
BTC-Mining: I could hardly do as much on MPEX which only IPOs high rated companies like SatoshiDice. The price seems too stable.
mircea_popescu: Ignatius-otc but you would have to set it to be something.
mircea_popescu: BTC-Mining it might be the case that the cost of your research in terms of skill*time exceeds your profits by a significant margin.
BTC-Mining: I stay informed on the issuers and latest development, I buy when there's an opportunity, sell back before it's too late.
Ignatius-otc: that is ebcause you demand the price is taken to arbitrary points. in some markets the price is whatever you set it to be
mircea_popescu: i'm not saying it can't happen. im just talking statistics.
mircea_popescu: Ignatius-otc but looky : my position to begin with : 900mn worth of shares. my position to end with : 60mn in cash and 810 mn worth of shares
BTC-Mining: I have yet to make a loss on any GLBSE asset
Ignatius-otc: roughly yes. I was merely trying to say prohibiting the printing of shares does not mean an issuer can not dilute.
BTC-Mining: then that he started to trade assets for shares
mircea_popescu: BTC-Mining so you earnestly believe you can pick them. more power to you. in my experience neither timers nor pickers make money irl, but you're welcome to it.
BTC-Mining: The first being that he needed a 1 million BTC IPO
mircea_popescu: i got 70mn for the shares i sold, i bought them back for 60 mn, hence 10 mhn profit, is this the system Ignatius-otc ?
mircea_popescu: i rebuy 10 million of my shares, price goes all the way to 9.
BTC-Mining: Diablo had lots of telltale signs that it was nonsense
mircea_popescu: now, i dump 10mn of my shares, price goes all the way to 5
mircea_popescu: burt anyway, let's see this thing. company has 1mn shares, i own 90mn of them, it trades at 10 currently.
BTC-Mining: of course there fucking is a way to pick them up, you can just look up the issuer
mircea_popescu: Ignatius-otc i might be either thick skulled or missing something here.
Ignatius-otc: both were highly successful so I wondered why you called the one method unsuccessful
mircea_popescu: BTC-Mining it just means there's no rational way of pickingthem.
Ignatius-otc: no, I mean I ahve witnessed 2 types of penny stock scams. One, where they dilute by continually printing enw shares and selling off until the price per share is some small fraction of a cent. then, they restructure and repeat the process. another type, doesn't dilute by printing shares, but by the method i have tried to desciribe to you.
BTC-Mining: "anyone can make a stock and anyone can then dillute it to hell"
BTC-Mining: and people were trying to do a P2P stock exchange, unregulated too of course
mircea_popescu: well that's the exact sense in which glbse is unregulated : anyone can make a stock and anyone can then dillute it to hell
BTC-Mining: Unregulated as no one decides of what is and is not appropriate in transactions
Ignatius-otc: mp if you can please elaborate on why you said "things don't work out that way. this particular attack would made everyone rich irl if it really worked.". this attack does work at times, i have seen penny stock scams use it
BTC-Mining: Not unregulated in that sense god dammit
mircea_popescu: bitcoin is the paragon of closeness, hence it's value.
BTC-Mining: Well bitcoin is technically an open, unregulated currency too...
mircea_popescu: i understand it, i also think it's beyond stupid.
BTC-Mining: What do you not understand in the fact GLBSE is a open market where anyone can issue?
mircea_popescu: i always said, i'd rather not list anything at all than list dubious offerings.
BTC-Mining: That's exactly why there was no default, the market allows only few companies
mircea_popescu: just because they're better they will necessarily be fewer.
mircea_popescu: BTC-Mining the total market value of mpex listed assets is > 10x total mkt value of glbse listed assets.
BTC-Mining: MPEX has almost no assets, it's an options trading. As for assets, there's S.DICE, Mpex itself, giga.etf and I think brendio's funds?
mircea_popescu: things don't work out that way. this particular attack would made everyone rich irl if it really worked.
mircea_popescu: this theory about force price down etc is (possibly) what pirate thought he might accomplish
mircea_popescu: Ignatius-otc i am saying that, yes. so far none has.
Ignatius-otc: sell shares, drop price, buyback panic sell, repeat. you never diluted in a traditional sense, but the result would be a fleecing of investors and a chart with a similar appearance...always trending down. So mp you are saying no mpex asset has ever defaulted? wow
BTC-Mining: There's ways to pick good stocks from the bad ones
BTC-Mining: I went, over the past month, from a 1200 portfolio value to a 1500 portfolio value, on GLBSE...
mircea_popescu: there's very good reasons why pretty much everyone switched ship this month, you see ?
mircea_popescu: read a little the forum, the people are quite frustrated.
mircea_popescu: BTC-Mining im just saying you have no rational way to pick. and one flower that made 20% is scarce compensation for all the duds.
mircea_popescu: Ignatius-otc let's run a scenario. i own 90% of the float, share trades at 10. now i do what, sell 5% of the float, share goes to 5 ?
BTC-Mining: which is not true...
Ignatius-otc: but im no expert, if you say its impossible to dilute in any way ill believe ya;)
Ignatius-otc: the market price of low liquidity assets can be manipulated by simply buying out asks and filling bids sufficiently to where ones own orders are all that remain. if the issuer did this instead of dilution i believe he could continually "flip" the shares in a way similar to if he had just kept printing shares with a plummeting share price