log☇︎
940400+ entries in 0.56s
Bugpowder: read the trilemna
Bugpowder: mircea_popescu: A car is a functional object of desire that feels like it just might actually be in reach, even if you have only a few hundred coins.
tiberiusiv: if voorhees has 90% of sdice shares, what stops him from playing on his own site everytime he wants to dump more shares, in order to increase "profits" thereby introducing more motivated bidders to buy them
MJR_III: not an otc thing, or not another internal investor
MJR_III: in fact, i think that is not a good sign for them
MJR_III: and could turn around
MJR_III: that just changes the price
MJR_III: while i agree coinbase is fucking up their opportunity
mircea_popescu: i don't see that coinbase is worth money.
MJR_III: but that was not the cool link...what would you price that block of coinbase shares at?
MJR_III: 250 btc then i think...
mircea_popescu: gotta love these.
mircea_popescu: "Hey All I Am a long time miner with a low budget. My 1 Gh/s isnt cutting it anymore, or has it for a long time. I need our Help to Secure a Batch #3 Avalon. I Have A Listing Up On BTCJam"
dub: I was gonna dismiss that based on its european decent but its actually pretty badass
MJR_III: fix whatever stupid model they are using
MJR_III: but anyways...this PE deal could be good i think
MJR_III: its nice to dream
MJR_III: mircea_popescu: did you see the car i want to get once bitcoins make it possible lol
Bugpowder: correction TuesWedsThurs
gribble: A market order to buy 20000 bitcoins right now would take 1477023.0224 USD and would take the last price up to 75.1364 USD, resulting in an average price of 73.8512 USD/BTC. | Data vintage: 0.0011 seconds
Bugpowder: So... On wednesday, thursday and friday of last week, 10,000-20,000 BTC buys went off between 15:00-15:30 GMT each day. So, we may be thru $75 within the next 15 hours.
mircea_popescu: "MagicalTux already explained that he is writing a entirely new site that is decent and not a stupid magic the gathering trading script. "
Bugpowder: sux. that's like 0.65 Teslas.
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder long time user guy, im sure he didn't step into anything obvious.
jurov: let's finish the drawin together
Bugpowder: mircea_popescu: Did they wire in over $10k at a time?
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder then there's the people with 50k waiting for 3 months for the "developers" to look into it
jurov: or would it be suspicious that guy from yurp suddenly gets bunch of ach,dwolla and such stuff?
Bugpowder: Bitcoin is just such a stunning example of how profitable it can be to be an early adopter of something, on some many levels.
nanotube: jurov: i updated to use the new data.mtgox
Bugpowder: its really a system of haves and have nots. People with verified gox accounts that aren't scared by filling out a wire form or put off by paying a $30 fee, or have a bitcoins direct account... Those are the haves. Then there are the people that use coinbase or are sitting in the verification queue.
MJR_III: crazy to see compound interest at work...usually its fractions of pennies
MJR_III: put $170 in on the 19th...$175 today...
Bugpowder: so many reddit posts about how hard it is to buy bitcoins
mircea_popescu: as far as i know you're the only person with a positive experience with them.
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder that's cool.
jurov: interesting, bitcoin-central does accept unfunded asks too, but shows them in book with zero amount
Bugpowder: mircea_popescu: They raised my withdrawl limit two hours after I emailed them
MJR_III: btw... mircea_popescu did you see the Private Equity deal for CoinBase?
smickles: it hits me about 12 times a day
smickles: dub: yeah, by the damn baidu bot
mircea_popescu: sez tux.
mircea_popescu: "Most open tickets have a resolution within 20 minutes. Remaining cases are when there is not enough information, or when issues are not simple user-specific issues (or linked to an outage)."
mircea_popescu: well... most webservers come prioritised out of the box
MJR_III: but mostly for the cool factor
smickles: < Bugpowder> smickles is wrong << i guess they finally gave that up, huh? (also, i'm laggin out like mad cats)
MJR_III: ah could be true i suppose
mircea_popescu: MJR_III apache slows down the entire machine.
mircea_popescu: which thanks god already.
mircea_popescu: they're prolly going to move it on a separate machine seeing how i the "how mpex does it" article made the rounds
MJR_III: apache is not the matching engine...though that very may well exacerbate the problem
MJR_III: they list "improving the matching engine is one of our biggest projects right now"
mircea_popescu: MJR_III because they run a webserver on the same machine
MJR_III: even more reason they can't have it in ram
MJR_III: how could they be so slow in RAM
Bugpowder: But the book isn't very big
Bugpowder: They are not hitting the disk.
MJR_III: DB programming is one of the biggest areas where this space needs help
MJR_III: no way its that slow if that were the case
Bugpowder: and that the whole book is kept in RAM
MJR_III: you wo9uld imagine wrong i think
MJR_III: you could do it far outside the money
Bugpowder: I would imagine they are using SSDs.
MJR_III: well bots do it intentionally to try to place orders
MJR_III: it is almost certain that they are doing reads on an HDD
Bugpowder: to some extent bots already do that
dub: if you could work out how to reliably control timing..
MJR_III: filling their queues
MJR_III: you could use the api to send many orders at tiny amounts
MJR_III: doubt they have toxic flow preventers
dub: you could basically stop trading with a handfull of accounts
dub: I was trying to think of a way that gox can be gamed through its shithouse engine
gribble: Sa invatam Texas Hold'em impreuna, teoria cartilor pe Trilema - Un ...: <http://trilema.com/2012/sa-invatam-texas-holdem-impreuna-teoria-cartilor/>; Lewis - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia: <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lewis>
mircea_popescu: ;;google trilema glengarry glen ross
MJR_III: glengarry glen ross and rogue trader...now margin call
Bugpowder: people say X wall is fake because they are fucking idiots.
MJR_III: been a trading movie kind of day
smickles: 'tis true m'lrd
Bugpowder: right, but what we REALLY want to know is the shadow pool of funds not on the book.
MJR_III: well that theory was busted for me...i guess their book is pretty accurate, as far as they actually have funds behind orders
Bugpowder: I can test in a few days when I dump another batch at $97. :)
Bugpowder: Don't have coin at mtgox right now, but pretty sure you need to fund asks too for them to show
mircea_popescu: pretty clever way to do it.
MJR_III: i think bugpowder said that they only show the closest to top of book?
mircea_popescu: so basically you can put it in, but it won't list it in the book ?
Bugpowder: If you underfund your bids, your cheapest bids don't post to the market
MJR_III: the other orders only pop up when that one is canceled
mircea_popescu: a ok. was about to blow up over here
Bugpowder: I tested it.
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder don't they ?
MJR_III: Bugpowder proved that last night
mircea_popescu: wtf is it about bad ideas that makes them so irresistible to people.
mircea_popescu: they have the phantom liquidity model too now ?!
smickles: they show in the book and only disappear when they get touched by an ask
smickles: gox lets you place bids b/f you have cash in the account
MJR_III: no trading ever
MJR_III: as you'll see...i told him if market was efficient it'd be broken
mircea_popescu: a restatement of the efficient market theory, which is broken even in fiat.
mircea_popescu: "mjr: if satoshidice future was more certain, the price would reflect it, it doesnt." << well, this is fundamentally a broken argument.
MJR_III: fucked up how much noise to signal there is from the biggest exchange