log☇︎
931800+ entries in 0.69s
mircea_popescu: the bid/ask volumes tho... lol
mjr_: people who saw cnbc yesterday or the day before...they can't even get into gox for like 10 days maybe
mjr_: there is another goxlag that we don't measure quite as well
ThickAsThieves: who is buying all these coins, yeesh
mircea_popescu: depends. last month i think they did yea
pizzaman1337: options get the most volume, don't they?
mircea_popescu: pizzaman1337 only the options :p
pizzaman1337: it'd be nice to have some kind of backup
mjr_: lol Bugpowder: you set them at 119 or 117?
Bugpowder: I thought it got crazy before I went to bed
mjr_: the victors write the history books
mjr_: from my perspective, what survives is what should have survived, a little tautological i know, but that is how the world works
mjr_: VHS was more fit than BetaMax, even though it was worse as a technology
troc: hmm at least SMTP has rfcs, suppose we are rehashing what was said after the fork.
mjr_: its survival of the fittest, but that doesn't always mean pure ideas, that can mean influence
mjr_: but even so, someone releases their version and it works until it doesn't...issues arise and people vote with their feet and dollars
mjr_: TradeFortress: true, and i think that should be where it goes
mjr_: but this cuts to the core of my point, everyone relies on software developers, unfortunately the software doesn't spring fully formed from the sea foam
mjr_: TradeFortress: i agree...but in a capitalistic sense, you can choose what people offer or make your own, i think for long term adoption backward compatiblity is of course necessary
mjr_: TradeFortress: you can create your own version that gives you what you like about v3 and make it compatible...this is my point, software is not a right
gribble: Error: Failed to retrieve data. Try again later.
TradeFortress: mjr_ I still don't like how I can't use v0.3 or something. and not be able to get on the bitcoin network
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 135.50000, Best ask: 135.84774, Bid-ask spread: 0.34774, Last trade: 135.30003, 24 hour volume: 119771.38207326, 24 hour low: 103.75000, 24 hour high: 147.00000, 24 hour vwap: 120.69450
mjr_: in the future that will happen...but you will still have issues where people rely on software and are beholden to the developers of said software
TradeFortress: answer: nothing would have happened, 10% of the users would be unable to trust transactions until they upgrade.
mpexbot: ThickAsThieves: An error has occurred and has been logged. Please contact this bot's administrator for more information.
TradeFortress: mircea_popescu, that is a problem when there's really only one bitcoin client
mjr_: does that not change the payout spectrum in your favor to do it
mircea_popescu: mjr_ what if i tell you that
mjr_: hey, you can ask me to lend to whoever you want...if i do it...my fault
mircea_popescu: now the dems don't want to sell their own houses wives and daughters to pay for it
mircea_popescu: "lend to black people no matter what"
mircea_popescu: TradeFortress ok but it creatges this pernicious "listen to us and we'll insulate you ferom marketplace effects". it's how clinton destroyed the us banking sector
mjr_: and we will see banks that use bitcoins, deposit insurance, chargebacks etc
TradeFortress: mircea_popescu, I'm guessing owner bet a lot of coins on them shipping.
mjr_: TBH i think that most people cannot face this brave new world
mircea_popescu: ChaangNoi doesn't change much in the equation
mjr_: well, they tried to game the system
ChaangNoi: mp btc guild pays for orphand blocks, he lost the 1k oins not the miners
TradeFortress: so tons of drama over betsofbitco.in marking BFL shipping apr 1 as draw :P
mjr_: i wonder...what would have happened if they hadn't...hard to tell at this point
mjr_: a choice for the status quo
mjr_: well...i think there is always a choice, but i also think most are too stupid to make one, but no choice is a choice
mjr_: why not force old version to upgrade
mircea_popescu: mjr_ i don't think they had a choice tbh.
mjr_: i thought the roll back was stupid...why go to the incorrect chain
mjr_: not that this was the case
mjr_: so if someone releases something that is obviously borked
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 137.10522, Best ask: 137.98997, Bid-ask spread: 0.88475, Last trade: 137.98997, 24 hour volume: 119771.38207326, 24 hour low: 103.75000, 24 hour high: 147.00000, 24 hour vwap: 120.69450
fdas: ;; ticker
mircea_popescu: but that doesn't change what things are yet.
mjr_: also...at the end of the day, miners, and all bitcoin users do rely on the software used to run the network
bgupta: and when deepbit got close to 50% a bunch of miners left
troc: even reddit is aware of the dangers of too few and big pools
mircea_popescu: bgupta except there's no really distinct ones.
mjr_: now with asics i think you will see more solo mining
mircea_popescu: everyone uses a pool because that's what you do
mircea_popescu: except nobody chooses to use a pool
mjr_: specifically that pool
mjr_: and everyone who chooses to use a pool
mircea_popescu: it was two doods.
mircea_popescu: and it wasn't even the miners
mircea_popescu: except it wasn't the market,
mjr_: but at the end of the day, "the market decides" and it decides to follow gavin i guess
mircea_popescu: i am just trying to delineate the heavier problems we face,
mircea_popescu: i am not disputing their right here.
mjr_: and they earn the right to do so by having the mining power
mjr_: but that is their choice
mjr_: i don't know, they could have been sheepishly following
mircea_popescu: maybe they were just sheepishly following ?
mircea_popescu: how do you know this to be the case ?
mircea_popescu: a move was made that was irrational.
mjr_: but i think they took into account the fact that a fork could have damaged their long term gains into account
mircea_popescu: so it still doesn't escape the central planning issue.
mircea_popescu: this is irrational on the face.
mjr_: so in the end, whoever can convince the most people will change the course of history...par for the course
mircea_popescu: the btc guild guy made a choice that cost his miners ~1-2k btc
mjr_: i just mean that you could have lobbied for the longer chain...or miners who wanted to continue that path could have
mircea_popescu: you have to presume some choice was made. i have my doubts those heads were working.
mircea_popescu: but it's still there.
mjr_: well...the fact that the choice remained with them means that you may get centralization in effect, but not in cause
mircea_popescu: mjr_ it's not they could have. they in fact did. (and not the bitcoin foundation either, that's an irrelevant little scam by now)
mircea_popescu: is this democratic process iyo ?
mjr_: if the bitcoin foundation could have unilaterally negated the fork...centralization
mircea_popescu: mjr_ but to make that work in the case at hand, parish head told people to vote for x, they did.
mjr_: or you could say that 51% of voters colluded to elect the candidate they prefer
mjr_: yes, that is the difference, but also...you could say that everyone buying bitcoins is "colluding" to raise the price, all our actions are working towards the same goal
mircea_popescu: explain this difference ?
mjr_: collusion is not the same as centralization though the effects can be similar
mircea_popescu: but logically thinking : bitcoin is sold as being decentralised, right ?
bgupta: mircea_popescu: You are correct I don't understand.. I only understand the technical issue with the fork, not the economic or social implications.. is there a more theorough analysis out there?
mircea_popescu: was this rain thing some sort of ponzi ?!
TradeFortress: about 400 btc total was the withdrawls I know of, but I'm not sure how much coins were lost in bitcoinrain
mircea_popescu: how large is large TradeFortress ?
mircea_popescu: suspicious this
mircea_popescu: buyt this doesn't change the fact that it's broken.
TradeFortress: srsly, "You will get the bitcoins tommorow", tommorow -> site down, 'hacked'
mircea_popescu: bgupta i agree that a correctly functioning bitcoin would have been fucked in that situation, and so "good" that it was broken.
mircea_popescu: Schadenfreude probably in the millions from what people were saying. no idea.
Schadenfreude: Any estimate on how much money was lost in the brazil incident?