log☇︎
915300+ entries in 0.641s
tiberiusiv: nobody is going to lend your shitty bond fund more $
mircea_popescu: (if these numbers are worth a shit at all)
mircea_popescu: the call side cost to hedge the bond is then 7%
mircea_popescu: so they cost like 70 btc.
mircea_popescu: i mean 1000 these
mircea_popescu: O.USD.C302T for instance will make about .25 each if price goes there. so you need 100 these
gribble: BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 132.10000, Best ask: 132.39998, Bid-ask spread: 0.29998, Last trade: 132.40000, 24 hour volume: 29432.97051216, 24 hour low: 126.01101, 24 hour high: 136.68000, 24 hour vwap: 132.09045
mircea_popescu: and puts that make 250 btc if price goes down 60%
mircea_popescu: so then you need calls that will make 250 btc if price goes up 3x
mircea_popescu: i am suspecting the bot is exactly right because everyone agrees price is making them lose money
jurov: i had some preliminary idea with smickles to have alternative bot
ThickAsThieves: I wanted to do an options fund, but current pricing makes it seem like it'd most likely be a loser as well
jurov: and then vote when they should be sold/exercised.. yeah
mircea_popescu: course all this is becoming rather complicated.
mircea_popescu: as in, buy some options on the same package as the bond. maybe everyone buying shares gets to vote which way to go, calls or puts
mircea_popescu: jurov maybe an idea is to get a limited hedging involved.
assbot: [MPEX] [S.MPOE] [PAID] 378.21006095 BTC to 500`000`000 shares, 75 satoshi per share
jurov: We have one month hiatus to come up with something.
jurov: folks, if there is anyone still interested in MPOE bonds passthrough or has workable ideas,
truff1es: not very many people fit into that, lifeguard?
Scrat: I used to work close to the beach, would be sfw then
truff1es: did not expect that at all
thestringpuller: I'ma buy you the GTA complete pack
benkay: success in comms is expressing things in a way that everyone understands
truff1es: even though it made mp look less of an ass to me, still gonna throw in my jabs
kakobrekla: i think that means using it wrong
ThickAsThieves: sometimes my words mean more than what the dictionarys defines them as
truff1es: i thought he wanted to know their level of experience or image..
benkay: everyone has the right to question
ThickAsThieves: but really, it started as benkay asking what give mpoe-pr/mpex/mp the right to question others experience, and turned into, i dunno
ThickAsThieves: any time
ezdiy: (but the statistics holds indeed)
ThickAsThieves: it's amazing how this conversation gets more and more interesting
ezdiy: to lump it all together does not seem right
mircea_popescu: well other than that i was answering the q of how long im doing something
benkay: but there's lots of noise in the market and some traders manage to beat the mean year after year
mircea_popescu: it may be true, but it may not help you.
mircea_popescu: just making the point that information will leak is this proposition of statistics
benkay: that's more of a signal to noise claim, sir.
benkay: 0 information leakage is a secret kept by 1 person. some information leakage happens when more than 1 person knows stuff. eventually, all information will leak. infinity?
mircea_popescu: some people met in person lol. some haven't. each his cup of tea
ThickAsThieves: so at this get together, did some people not tell others who they were?
mircea_popescu: since i'm doing it it's not 0. unless some sort of obvious 1 hits me over the head
mircea_popescu: 0/1/infinity is the rule
benkay: and you anticipate maintaining the privacy wall indefinitely?
mircea_popescu: other than that, some people don't care, which is why you get the names/mugs of some people.
mircea_popescu: now, the coders are often uninterested in talking to the public.
mircea_popescu: that's as to why you will likely never know who's on my short list of people i talk to / scream at / with on macroeconomic topics, finance etc.
mircea_popescu: ws people were involved since 2011/early 2012, in the only way they could be.
mircea_popescu: so, to round this up : for all the bullshit "we're getting ws involved" coming out of purely puff style start-ups like coin-whatever,
mircea_popescu: so if it's dubious, then it's not gettiong ok.
mircea_popescu: now. the compliance officer is NEVER going to ok something like "bitcoin". because he only ok's on positive factual knowledge it's ok.
mircea_popescu: people (actual people in this chan) have been sacked for nonsense like, telling a reporter they make a lot of money and are living the life.
benkay: got it. so everyone's doing this as a side job?
mircea_popescu: this includes things like giving interviews even.
mircea_popescu: w/o clearing it with the compliance officer.
mircea_popescu: the rule - simplified - is that nobody can get involved into ANYTHING related to their day job even vaguely
mircea_popescu: benkay basically, it's a team of people with various types of licenses, a boss, a compliance officer and some more sdupport roles.
benkay: mp knows i'm actually trying to learn stuff
ThickAsThieves: I'm not sure why eother of you think this conversation will go anywhere
benkay: in the us? to an extent. in romania? no clue.
mircea_popescu: do you know how this profession is organised ?
benkay: why can't they get involved? risking their licensure?
mircea_popescu: i talk to these people. well... they can't get involved.
mircea_popescu: no listen. the year is 2011. i get excited about this new btc thing. i know what it needs to have a chance. i know i need help. i know whose help i need.
benkay: also I hate asking questions that have been answered already. aversion to repetition and all that.
benkay: but if you hire them and their compliance officer?did you contract with existing financial firms to do accounting and backoffice etc?
mircea_popescu: benkay consider bitcoin. in their head.
mircea_popescu: benkay indefinitely in principle. unless something happens to show me the model is fundamentally flawed, i think it will carry on forever.
mircea_popescu: this because being a financial professional is highly regulated, they'd have to get an ok from their compliance officer,
benkay: so this veers into philosophy and prognostication, but how much longer can anyone expect any information to remain unindexed?
mircea_popescu: is if you swore on dead saints you will never release their name
mircea_popescu: it's an issue here, i mean : for years the ONLY way you could get anyone with any sort of license to even consider bitcoin
mircea_popescu: ThickAsThieves some care more than others.
ThickAsThieves: benkay, i suspect mp's people would prefer their privacy over "image"
benkay: and you're endeavoring to write new rules, I get it.
benkay: so returning to culture shock, I'm accustomed to things being indexed instead of known
mircea_popescu: not really, no. but anyway. it isn't/never was a matter of "do some research child". in the sense that i answered if asked, but in general stuff is known.
mircea_popescu: yeah i thin kthere's some conflation at work here.
FabianB: image != transparency
benkay: I guess I'm just bemused by the difference in approach towards image in your area.
thestringpuller: we should drop this exchange nonsense and get into the lingerie business yo
mircea_popescu: if he doesn't trust me that's pretty much of no import. if i don't trust him that's a serious impairment on his future.
mircea_popescu: trust is this directional affair.
mircea_popescu: he is proving himself to me.
mircea_popescu: after all, i'm not proving myself to random unknown noob on the forum
benkay: which induces a bit of culture shock, in that i generally expect people to be proud of the team they work with, and eager to show that they're above board and real grownups etc.
benkay: but if I say, 'dear mircea_popescu, where would I go to learn about the amazing team you've assembled to run your business?' your answer is 'do some research, child'
mircea_popescu: in other words : none of this is a secret, it's known by people who care to know as it were.
mircea_popescu: guy's name is florin cristescu, it's all over that.
mircea_popescu: the famous court proceedings where i beat back the romanian govt had been amply linked but i guess you never saw that.
mircea_popescu: martha is already named there. she's named on the domain registratiosn too.
truff1es: those things dont concern me lol
benkay: "exercise to reader"
truff1es: just the woman and mp
benkay: but who are those humans?
truff1es: benkay did u miss the show and tell picture
mircea_popescu: towards the end
benkay: chat logs are not public declaration of team makeup.
benkay: i'm trying to highlight the double standard of "no pro-grade team called out on site, where team is expected to be called out" vs the MPEx approach which is "MPEx is run by someone well versed in power dynamics and getting people to do things. trust him to select the right people to do things."