log☇︎
786000+ entries in 0.469s
Vexual: you read the logs
herbijudlestoids: haaha didnt you play this song the other night?
Vexual: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tFHkO3CqnjU you're already there, youe a surity here
herbijudlestoids: proper true 999 from the perth mint sort of gold :)
Vexual: im gonna give you a fast track track on your track to enlightnement sans illegal drugs beacause you're so cool
Vexual: dont tell me about aussie gold unless its proper true
herbijudlestoids: i was thinking it would be interesting to throw small increments of gold up as offers and see if any takers
Vexual: i was trying to explain a spoonfull of cement to the people in the australian context
Vexual: tuff track
herbijudlestoids: something for the hermits then http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O9IO2pT7lhM
Vexual: i dont leave the house, ive gt more social phobias than duffer and that other cunt put together
herbijudlestoids: not that i dont appreciate the company :P
Vexual: yeah i discovered your problem when i was wathxcing the last season of rake, my fave barrister
herbijudlestoids: anyway vex, what the f are you doing home on a sat night
herbijudlestoids: im using the absolute latest flashplayer
herbijudlestoids: right, there you go then
herbijudlestoids: i think because the difficulty only updates on each new block, so there is flat parts in the timeseries
herbijudlestoids: punkman1: where the rate of change does not change for several datapoints (days)
herbijudlestoids: i.e. over any given 30 day window, 20% was the lowest amount difficulty grew and 100% was the largest amount
punkman1: what's with the flat parts
herbijudlestoids: 20% was the lowest ROC i found
ozbot: imgur: the simple image sharer
herbijudlestoids: so, i just calculated the 30 day ROC for bitcoin difficulty since the start of 2013
ozbot: PXE presents A placa de Ipanema feat. The Herd - YouTube
Vexual: im hoping some will expatriate to australia
Vexual: twelfteen balkans listening to this conversation
Vexual: im all about the quality management and a chalenge
herbijudlestoids: (any of them)
herbijudlestoids: Vexual: i wanna see you in these pants http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DohRa9lsx0Q
ozbot: Milow - Little in the Middle (Official Unplugged) - YouTube
Vexual: except you need to be productive here, there they just are
Vexual: buy some farms and shit, oz aint too different to holland
Vexual: yeah 10-100k on trading needs a dude
herbijudlestoids: i used to do it
Vexual: who does your tax re forex shit?
Vexual: nooones gonna tell you yu cant trade, beut when its aussie dollars, you pay tax, simple
herbijudlestoids: i dont plan on buying BTC until the volatility dies off, thought it might be doing so but the last week of action has proved me wrong
herbijudlestoids: benkay: the way i figure is iv already missed the initial wealth transfer...so why bother? if BTC takes over, i will be able to sell my human capital in BTC just as i now sell it in AUD
herbijudlestoids: or something like that
herbijudlestoids: the only profitable strategy i could think of is that i know the ATO has good treatment for options if theyre hedges to delta <0.3
benkay: enjoy your lifetime of servitude to the state
herbijudlestoids: the only way i could reduce the cost base is by avoiding the tax
herbijudlestoids: exactly, if its treated like any other asset class then ceteris paribus trading in BTC has a higher cost base to me
Vexual: and tricks id poor grammar
Vexual: im not anything, ive got tricks, but my lawyers dont play anymore
benkay: that storing it in physical gold is preferrable to storing it in bitcoin.
herbijudlestoids: Vexual: how are you doing that stuff without the ATO up your arse? or are you compliant?
herbijudlestoids: benkay: think like what? that i can store surplus productivity in physical gold?
Vexual: i think herbi might teach you a few tricks too benkay
benkay: if you think like that you have much learning to do.
benkay: you cannot have your cake and eat it too.
benkay: they are antithetical to one another.
benkay: you straddle two worlds.
herbijudlestoids: right, exactly, and now i have to manage two portfolios
Vexual: i can get you btc agro forestry and all the shit
benkay: maintain your fiat investments the way you normally od
herbijudlestoids: its not about realising them
Vexual: or buy a vex trust but its byolawyer now
herbijudlestoids: i literally already had this exact convo with kakobrekla
benkay: chetty: refusing to embrace the future will be the death of many things. apple is on that list.
herbijudlestoids: and the tax office is suddenly asking where the discrepancy is from
herbijudlestoids: benkay: how is it realistic? lets say i want to split that 10k across my other investments, its immediately back in the financial system
ozbot: Bitcoin vs. Apple: Videos of Users Destroying Their iPhones Proliferate on YouTube | A Lightning War
benkay: do you not have the resources to pull it off?
benkay: well yes, one must always sacrifice convenience on the altar of security. be it security from rogue computers or security from rogue regimes...
herbijudlestoids: lets say i invest $100,000 into trading BTC assets like MPOE, and i make 10% in a year, am i supposed do $10k cash in hand?
Vexual: im your tax man for bc herbi
benkay: and you *can* sell those btc for cash in hand, right?
herbijudlestoids: if i take sell BTC to buy AUD i need to explain that to the tax office
herbijudlestoids: i already went through this with kako
benkay: this will impact some trading strategies for sure.
benkay: well trade btc assets! tax free for 2003!
benkay: ha 0.00062792 would be where i caught that knife
herbijudlestoids: im very rarely a daytrader. i trade almost entirely EOD and dont like to keep turnover as low as possible for tax considerations
benkay: 0.00063 according to my books
herbijudlestoids: benkay: almost, the spike at 400 is a crazy swing in price at the 400th tick in the timeseries
herbijudlestoids: benkay: basically betting against whatever just happened is usually profitably when volatility is high and declining...if its low and increasing youre likely in trouble
benkay: so the spike at 400 is a crazy swing in price 400 ticks ago?
ozbot: Calvin Harris - Acceptable in the 80's (With Lyrics) - YouTube
Vexual: yeah im where daytraders make their money
herbijudlestoids: Vexual: what of it? New York close/New Zealand open is the 24h close
herbijudlestoids: like the charts you can see on mpex.co already, i just dont think theyre portraying useful info
Vexual: what of 24 hour trading genius?
herbijudlestoids: benkay: intraday mean reversion is basically betting against whatever just happened. if the price went down, you bet its about to go up.
herbijudlestoids: "why not time normalised" because MPEX doesn't really seem to operate like a regular exchange in terms of time and also there is not really enough trades happening in any given hour/4h/day block to make a realistic OHLC bargraph
benkay: okay, so how do we get from that graph to "that vol spike would be very hard to handle as a trade"?
herbijudlestoids: you dont "believe" in them? lol
herbijudlestoids: that plot is the rolling standard deviation over the ticks
herbijudlestoids: and then i take the rolling standard deviation of that value over the last 20 ticks
Vexual: wheres the wazardry?
benkay: why not time-normalize?
herbijudlestoids: benkay: so the 20 tick log normal return is ln(CurrentTickPrice/TwentyTicksAgoPrice)
herbijudlestoids: benkay: ok a tick is a trade
Vexual: yeah dumb it down for me too
benkay: would you be so kind as to explain a little?
benkay: i have no idea what twenty-tick standard deviation of twenty tick log normal returns means
herbijudlestoids: so each "index" point is one datapoint in that timeseries
herbijudlestoids: its the 20 tick standard deviation of 20 tick log normal returns
benkay: need more context. what is the index axis?
herbijudlestoids: benkay: that vol spike would be very hard to handle as a trade