log☇︎
779200+ entries in 0.517s
mircea_popescu: maybe we don't mean the same thing by manhattan projects. what's your definition ?
asciilifeform: for instance, you appear to consider seriously the possibility of 'radical life extension tech' being presently in covert use.
francis_wolke: mircea_popescu: I fail to see how this leads to a USG without Manhattan projects.
asciilifeform: francis_wolke: as for the absence of 'modern manhattan project', let's attack that one head-on
francis_wolke: asciilifeform: Thanks.
mircea_popescu: as things progress the complexity of ideology grows and so grows the number of boxes in which we put balls. soon enough you have no box with over X balls.
mircea_popescu: when you have simple ideologies, you have much easier coherence. thus activity with greatly leveraged effect.
mircea_popescu: the reason of course being ideological convergence, which happens because of the law of large numbers :
asciilifeform: (book-length, high-quality treatise on the exact recipes whereby humans are corralled and milked)
mircea_popescu: in the third case, the guy was able to not cause anything outside of measurement error.
mircea_popescu: in the second case, the guy was able to cause massive resource redistribution
mircea_popescu: in the first case, the guy was able to cause civil war.
mircea_popescu: francis_wolke let's consider a simpler alternative. obama fdr and lincoln all broke the law, grossly. in all cases the courts duly signed off on this.
asciilifeform: except in the purely mathematical scenarios.
asciilifeform: francis_wolke: i doubt that i, personally, could prove this claim to your satisfaction.
mircea_popescu: o no, i'm eight million words ahead in this game.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform now you're screwed, it looks like you'll have to write that article
francis_wolke: asciilifeform: Actually, I'd be interested in a reading list irrespective of that.
francis_wolke: asciilifeform: That we're living in a world without Manhattan projects.
mircea_popescu: like for instance now, we can agree that wtf.
mircea_popescu: so we can all agree on things.
mircea_popescu: see, this is why we need standards.
francis_wolke: There is nothing interesting there anyway. Just an 'about' with one sentence.
pankkake: francis-.github.io resolves, but firefox does not like the name
francis_wolke: mircea_popescu: Must have been cached. (Though you already knew that) my bad.
francis_wolke: asciilifeform: If you have a reading list to support this claim, I'd be happy to read it.
asciilifeform: the necessary human material is no longer readily available. just as the metals with which the SR-71 was built no longer are.
asciilifeform: i tend to agree with MP and others who conclude that we no longer live in a world where manhattan projects happen.
mircea_popescu: francis_wolke http://t.co/pwAThtM4MP << you know that's broken right ?
francis_wolke: Control, with respect to society, is an emergent phenomenon. That being said, the Manhattan Project happened.
asciilifeform: it's rather like, say you were permitted to squeeze off one shot from a small arm at your enemy. does this amount to 'kill switch'? what if you miss? what if he's got a tough hide.
mircea_popescu: i do that to women occasionally. they generally love it.
asciilifeform: whether this amounts to 'kill' is debatable.
asciilifeform: there is a 'fuck things up quite a bit' switch, possibly. (as described in my old piece)
mircea_popescu: *that* is a figment of your imagination, like the tits on the goddesses.
mircea_popescu: there is no nor can there ever be such a "kill switch".
francis_wolke: asciilifeform: Control, with respect to bitcoin, would be whoever has their hand on the 'kill switch'. Assuming that the guy with a nuke is stable.
asciilifeform: if the only things you can 'own' are those that fit in your coffin, then: stalin owned only an overcoat. and a few coin in his pocket.
Duffer1: i missed that one
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform incidentally : http://trilema.com/2014/democracy-and-finance-dont-mix-the-math-involved/#comment-98112 we're having a little dispute there.
asciilifeform: this goes back to the 'what is control' question from earlier, as well as MP's recent discussion of 'owning a cow'
mircea_popescu: "sarac dar cinstit" = poor but honest, ion iliescu, the ex dictator-s golden boy.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform fun anecdote : romania's ruler for the 90s decade owner... a house.
mircea_popescu: and this is so for very good reasons long explored in the history of thought.
asciilifeform: in what magic book is it written that '1%' (of what...) is a useful proxy for 'those who rule'
Namworld: The requirements to be included in the 1% are low...
mircea_popescu: listen, while i agree with the reverse (ie, indeed reality iwll have some bearing, no matter how tenuous, on your imagination), the reverse is completely baseless.
asciilifeform: Duffer1: one can easily picture a set of aims that these things, which you aren't particularly fond of, help to advance.
francis_wolke: Or say that I didn't actually know any of these people.
francis_wolke: Though I have no experience with these matters, I can 'imagine' that they make certain sorts of donations etc.
Duffer1: my experience is obviously subject (as was my initial statement) but i don't see anyone trying to reverse these trends
mircea_popescu: francis_wolke you know this hardly is showing, do you ?
francis_wolke: MP: I have met some people in so-called 1%. I know what they're like, and what their parents are like. Many of them don't think - but some do. Some actually care that civilization will be around for their decedents to enjoy.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform on your circumstance, yes. on the reality of the matter, none.
asciilifeform: in this scenario, imagination can indeed have an impact on reality...
asciilifeform: re: imagination: gedankenexperiment time. let's imagine that i imagine there's a cleaner way to solve sha(Y)=X than brute force. i pursue this line of inquiry, and the imagined turns into the actual.
Duffer1: well what does it matter visible or nonvisible if the net result is crap all around for everyone?
asciilifeform: Duffer1: this conclusion does not necessarily follow.
mircea_popescu: francis_wolke can you show this to me ?
francis_wolke: mircea_popescu: Because my imagination has some bearing on reality - however tenuous.
mircea_popescu: Duffer1 you know you'll have to first define some criteria.
Duffer1: I'd say given the state of affairs worldwide the non-visible muppets aren't good at much either
asciilifeform: francis_wolke: the visible muppets aren't good at much of anything
francis_wolke: asciilifeform: A while back you mentioned that the rulers of today are only good at misleading the public. I agree that the *visible* rulers are good at this - but can't imagine someone like Ben Bernanke caring so little about his future that the stupid are allowed to rule.
asciilifeform: correct. it's rather like the 'animal activist' folks turning the mice loose.
mircea_popescu: turning "them" lose is like turning the cockroaches in your kitchen "loose", admitting you live in ny.
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform there's never any question of turning them loose because they just won't leave.
asciilifeform: and there is never any question of turning them loose (that'd be the end of organized civilization as a concept) but change of masters.
mircea_popescu: or moreover it's simply THE maintenance of the historic norm, independent of human agency, which is being mentally digested in ways consecvent with the current social text.
francis_wolke: asciilifeform: have you read this: http://groups.csail.mit.edu/mac/classes/6.805/articles/money/nsamint/nsamint.htm
asciilifeform: modern 'debt politics' is simply a maintenance of the historic norm (most humans being formally enslaved to someone or other) by other means.
mircea_popescu: not everybody needs a college degree, even if they're white, and even if their parents have "expectations".
mircea_popescu: francis_wolke you don't. ideally, you DONT MAKE THEM
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform i suspect the problem is more like this : if i give you a debt package, there will be a cost to evaluate its value. if that cost likely exceeds its value, you may opt to just throw the whole thing away.
francis_wolke: And how do you get rid of $18 trillion in debt? And school loans. And housing loans. etc.
asciilifeform: modern monkey-handlers have not entirely abandoned the idea of 'populistic' gifts to their charges via mass expropriation (whether via debt forgiveness, abruptly nationalized industry, or whichever other tricks)
mircea_popescu: yes. our discussion started with me asking if you realise the thing you quote has more to do with the mokeys involved than with anything of import today.
mircea_popescu: but this is in no way time based, and in no way a festival.
francis_wolke: mircea_popescu: Exactly. The point is that the middle and lower class keep working.
mircea_popescu: this happens all the time. there are 1000s of bankruptcy courts all over the world hearing millions of cases as we speak.
mircea_popescu: ie, the stupid ones.
mircea_popescu: francis_wolke it would be the breaking of SOME tablets
mircea_popescu: this requires an economy built by people who see more than a year into the future.
francis_wolke: mircea_popescu: If the USD went to 0 btc - it would be a 'breaking of the tablets', regardless.
mircea_popescu: they still wish and expect tvs running water and generally to be able to play around on the intenret.
asciilifeform: so the ROI on containing them isn't always positive.
mircea_popescu: the fact that the bulk of the live humans are about as stupid today as in 3000 bc has little bearing
asciilifeform: mircea_popescu: the basic point that stands, supposing there is one, is that caging monkeys has a certain cost
mircea_popescu: society today relies on much more intelligent people.
mircea_popescu: yes well. back in those days a one year interval was far outside the mental abilities of even "specialist" "bankers" to plan.
mircea_popescu: francis_wolke you realise the entire breaking tablets thing is strictly a function of man's early monkey-like state and has no practical importance today. do you ?
asciilifeform: francis_wolke: possibly the only organized undertaking modern rulers are any good at is: presenting elaborately misleading pictures of their capabilities.
mircea_popescu: 2.47% of total Mpex.co traffic in last 3 months is social < that part was lulzy.
mircea_popescu: dexX7 not sure how accurate that sort of stuff is.
francis_wolke: asciilifeform: I have not drawn my conclusions r.e. the janissaries based on propaganda. At least, I'm not aware of doing so.
asciilifeform: in the same sense that they 'control' the weather.
asciilifeform: that is, do the fellows with the 'nuclear briefcases' - 'control bitcoin'? arguably they do...
asciilifeform: 'who controls', on the other hand, is uselessly vague.
asciilifeform: a more interesting question for 'political' aficionados could be 'who has the power to kill while making the death look like bad luck?' and 'who can silently bend the system towards some desired end'
asciilifeform: everyone seems intent on inventing the parachute after being thrown, rather than before.