log☇︎
771700+ entries in 0.569s
jurov: mp is keen to be unpredictable. back in 2012 mpex even paid btc interest at random time every day
jurov: but it doesn't take long usually
mike_c: ah, i did not know that. well, it is accurate now at least. could be improved for usefulness. my interest was mostly looking for extended downtime stretches.
jurov: so it's usual there are none or two same auotes at once even if all is okay
jurov: and then sleps for random time too, perhaps
jurov: it places orders with some random expiration time
jurov: better would be really to show average uptime in the period
mike_c: hm. is it not useful that it went up and down often?
jurov: the times where it went up and down often don't give any useful info
mike_c: why not? looks fixed to me
mike_c: ;;later tell mircea_popescu you were right, graph was clumping data points. here it is fixed: http://i.imgur.com/LgHsdOq.png
mike_c: just don't tell anyone what we talked about while OTR there.
kakobrekla: but its much better experience ircing this way
assbot: [HAVELOCK] [AM100] [PAID] 1.80943206 BTC to 321`963 shares, 562 satoshi per share
Bugpowder: oh i followed the chain... comes back to 1LNW...
kakobrekla: anyway, its coming from the mouth of new cog pr named samuel
kakobrekla: now you are trolling
Bugpowder: found the output
ozbot: Ken Shirriff's blog: The Bitcoin malleability attack graphed hour by hour
ozbot: Ken Shirriff's blog: The Bitcoin malleability attack graphed hour by hour
kakobrekla: >2.) The "missing div" period was a result of very bad luck. Right now we don't have any way to prove this, but its what happened.
kakobrekla: >1.) Unfortunately, we don't have a financial report yet. Putting one together is going to be a very time consuming process, and we don't have the time quite yet. Soon though.
Bugpowder: looking for a single big transfer to a putative cold wallet
Bugpowder: I am downloading the transaction history of that address
jborkl: so, it would seem there would have to be two different ways used or Mtgox was super duper special and got hit with a unique attack that was used on no one else
Namworld: Is that the MtGox green address?
jborkl: davout, the person scanned for all transactions that uses op_pushdata, from what I understand that should be very limited to a certain problem being fixed- normally about 40 a day- it was 19 I think on Feb 7th and did not rise until the 10th
Bugpowder: That was the address they sent 500,000BTC to back in 2011.
Bugpowder: where are the other mtgox addresses?
Namworld: What's not good with that, Bugpowder?
davout: jborkl: it's not impossible that the massive "let's fuck with every single tx floating around" isn't the same attack mtgox is referring to
Bugpowder: At first glance, this does not seem encouraging.
jborkl: now let me find the data that was posted
jborkl: for one of the affected transactions from before Feb 7, to see what was going on.
jborkl: One puzzle is that Mt.Gox announced their difficulties on Feb 7, and then explained Feb 10 that they were stopping withdrawals due to a malleability attack. Since the OP_PUSHDATA2 attack didn't start until Feb 9, this attack can't be responsible for the Feb 7 problems. One possibility is there was a different type of malleability attack that affected Mt.Gox. It would be interesting to get the hash
mircea_popescu: i'm off for now, but we continue this tomorro.
mike_c: ok, first off, let me make sure the down/up is accurate in january.
mircea_popescu: look, bucketed or not, this can't be that.
mike_c: if you zoomed in on the graph (not the png), you would get to 2 minute resolution
mircea_popescu: and consequently, values other than 1 and 0 ?
mircea_popescu: so then shouldn't i be seeing averaging ?
mike_c: the data has a 2 minute resolution. the graph is obv. somewhat less, but it is taken from that data.
ThickAsThieves: namworld you lost me, i'll i'm saying is i bet if the right people spend the right amount of time looking at orders placed and filled, you'd see gox tzking everyone for a ride
mircea_popescu: and a day is longer than 40 minutes
mike_c: no, not all the pikes are on tick marks
mircea_popescu: from that graph it either was down an entire day or up an entire day or some shit
mircea_popescu: so then why 1/0 ?
mircea_popescu: mike_c is this based on like 1 sampling/day ?
Namworld: TaT, how would that help? I didn't say manipulate through fake orders. Just through haltings, bad news, etc.
mircea_popescu: also definitely was quoting on the 1st of feb
mircea_popescu: no way tho, you mean it was down pretty much solid 8 to 10 jan ?
jborkl: Those are not BTC being traded anyway, they are Gox coins until they prove they have the reserve to back it
Namworld: How would one prove that's not the case?
Namworld: How? Mark can just claim he had to do all these haltings because of issues.
mike_c: little blips of up/down time i guess.
mircea_popescu: mike_c why the pikes ?
Namworld: At a minimum, they manipulate price for a profit.
the20year2: New rentalstarter update - We have preliminary acceptance by seller on the 3 unit property. 3 units at $67k
Namworld: No problem stealing your own business under the eyes of authorities. Right in front of them.
Bugpowder: show us the data please!
jborkl: That is the proof in the report, it showed there were no malformed txn even reported on the day Gox said
mircea_popescu: he didn't have the bitcoinica funds to pay back.
mircea_popescu: he was going to jail anyway.
Bugpowder: He is going to much more jail if he straight plundered it all.
mircea_popescu: you need a thinking hat.
mircea_popescu: and stealing the wallets is totally unreasonable, because he's going to jail.
jborkl: and I read the report about the txn problems, someone did a blockchain analysis of the Push_whatever attack- the attack started 2 days after Gox got hit
mircea_popescu: was NOT going to jail before
Bugpowder: He will go to jail
ThickAsThieves: i assume gox committed every crime possible in regards to exploiting their system
Bugpowder: But that doesn't make sense. Police care about this shit now
jborkl: watcging the youtube video of the guy camping and confronting Karpeles, they stole it
Bugpowder: If the hypothesis is that mtgox actively embezzled funds... Well that is a possibility.
mircea_popescu: it's just the perfect smoke cover, because people suffer from some sort of very particular brain issue.
mircea_popescu: it's not any third party.
mircea_popescu: looky : tux made the "malleable tx"
ThickAsThieves: <Bugpowder> At least according to aantop's latest podcast /// what makes him reputable?
Bugpowder: I think they lost 10k BTC tops
mircea_popescu: Bugpowder wait, you are actually buying the "malleable tx" bs ?!~
Bugpowder: but I guess the market thinks differently
Bugpowder: I just don't think its plausible for them to be that stupid
Bugpowder: yeah, that's all I saw too
ThickAsThieves: i recall linking charts for at least a week or two before
ThickAsThieves: <Bugpowder> There were that many malled txns prior to 2/10 to begin with. Certainly not enough to drain the cold storage ... source?
Bugpowder: At least according to aantop's latest podcast
mircea_popescu: <Bugpowder> how they fuck could they get the cold wallets drained. It's not plausible << what exactly is not plausible about it ?
Bugpowder: It is a known fact that many devs told them their method was vulnerable
kakobrekla: its no point discussing, take your positions if you can, and wait it out
ThickAsThieves: well if you are implying they noticed long ago, why did they not fix it?
Bugpowder: There were that many malled txns prior to 2/10 to begin with. Certainly not enough to drain the cold storage
Bugpowder: The test where you are like... Hey my accounting says I need to pay out 100,000BTC from the wallet and oh hey we have been manually resending 100,000BTC in transactions... And oh hey people have been telling us for months that our specific implementation is vulnerable to a malleability attack... I wonder if something is funky
ThickAsThieves: next theyll probly say authorities are investigating the malleability exploiters, so many funds and accounts are frozen until resolution
kakobrekla: davout i think he is trying to imply tux has one
davout: Bugpowder: what do you mean the common sense test?
Namworld: Either way, right now having fiat on gox allows to buy 2x the BTC you'd get at other exchanges.
Bugpowder: Doesn't pass the common sense test
davout: Bugpowder: you get the cold wallets drained by having your accounting fucked with. plain and simple
Bugpowder: I have no account tho
Bugpowder: them being incompetent at rolling out a code fix and terrible at communication is.
kakobrekla: buy all the coins then