log☇︎
754300+ entries in 0.505s
ThickAsThieves: the originating reddit link points to mp's blog
ThickAsThieves: he posts about the bet and elaborates, and people still think it's erik...
Mats_cd03: i feel thats a missed pr opportunity
Mats_cd03: i didnt realize until i read the trilema post that the brk-a bet originated from mp
ThickAsThieves: "Hence why the bet is in bitcoins - zero risk for the better and something only an idiot would participate in. I'm sure buffet's seen this one before but most of the morons on this subreddit have not."
Mats_cd03: bad PR in erik's thread for mpoe
ThickAsThieves: i'm offended that erik's reddit thread on the bet gets more shine than mine :(
ThickAsThieves: after that pumper was here this morning claming CBTC would double in value, they issue a report saying they lost money
Mats_cd03: and occasionally having your wages garnished by things like the brk-a bet or slot machines because youre too stubborn to understand probabilities
ThickAsThieves: "No - arithmetic error in the calculation. Fixed - thanks for point it out!"
ThickAsThieves: Is it caused by the acquisition of bit777 etc. or is this a mistake?"
ThickAsThieves: "Agreed. Looks good. But what I don't get is the huge jump to 41,734.95 in total earned BTC.
Mats_cd03: its context dependent and if you cant handle high school probability you will be ignored by the universe
ThickAsThieves: sure i think btc will win! but dat odds! i'm willing to throw .001 against that!
ThickAsThieves: a great phenomenon of this bet, is people thinking like him
Mats_cd03: dont grace that with a response, he cant be so dumb as to share a simplistic thought like that
ThickAsThieves: the expense to hedge being very cheap
ThickAsThieves: this assumes the No's won't ruin that weight
ThickAsThieves: you'd want to bet both sides while the weight is in your favor
ThickAsThieves: however, if you feel the large bet is correct, like in this case of this BRK one
ThickAsThieves: obviously there is more to gain, but you can still lose 100%
mircea_popescu: i didnt follow the logic of that.
Mats_cd03: why dont you make a small wager against every large bet then
sheldonthomas: Isn't it advantageous to make small bets against large ones on bitbet, since regardless of what you believe the odds are, you are splitting a larger winning pool from the other side
mircea_popescu: you can do that in private with gribble too.
gribble: Currently authenticated from hostmask ThickAsThieves!~ThickAsTh@unaffiliated/thickasthieves. Trust relationship from user sheldonthomas to user ThickAsThieves: Level 1: 0, Level 2: 0 via 0 connections. Graph: http://b-otc.com/stg?source=sheldonthomas&dest=ThickAsThieves | WoT data: http://b-otc.com/vrd?nick=ThickAsThieves | Rated since: Sat Mar 2 11:19:18 2013
sheldonthomas: ;;gettrust ThickAsThieves
gribble: Error: The command "get" is available in the Dunno, Herald, and Topic plugins. Please specify the plugin whose command you wish to call by using its name as a command before "get".
sheldonthomas: ;;get trust ThickAsThieves
sheldonthomas: boy that hostmask sure is revealing
gribble: Currently authenticated from hostmask sheldonthomas!~sheldonth@207-38-147-49.c3-0.avec-ubr2.nyr-avec.ny.cable.rcn.com. Trust relationship from user sheldonthomas to user sheldonthomas: Level 1: 0, Level 2: 0 via 0 connections. Graph: http://b-otc.com/stg?source=sheldonthomas&dest=sheldonthomas | WoT data: http://b-otc.com/vrd?nick=sheldonthomas | Rated since: never
gribble: #bitcoin-otc: <http://bitcoin-otc.com/>; #bitcoin-otc web of trust: <http://bitcoin-otc.com/trust.php>; #bitcoin-otc web of trust data: <http://bitcoin-otc.com/viewratings.php>
gribble: Error: Too many orders to list on IRC. Visit the web order book, http://bitcoin-otc.com/vieworderbook.php?eitherthing=USD to see list of orders for this item.
gribble: Error: Too many orders to list on IRC. Visit the web order book, http://bitcoin-otc.com/vieworderbook.php?eitherthing=BTC to see list of orders for this item.
gribble: Error: No orders for this currency present in database.
sheldonthomas: i hadn't seen that graphing function. very nice. i lost my gpg key i registered on otc from 2011
ozbot: Velvet Revolver - Fall To Pieces - YouTube
gribble: WARNING: Currently not authenticated. Trust relationship from user sheldonthomas to user mircea_popescu: Level 1: 0, Level 2: 0 via 0 connections. Graph: http://b-otc.com/stg?source=sheldonthomas&dest=mircea_popescu | WoT data: http://b-otc.com/vrd?nick=mircea_popescu | Rated since: Fri Jul 22 11:04:26 2011
gribble: WARNING: Currently not authenticated. Trust relationship from user mircea_popescu to user copumpkin: Level 1: 6, Level 2: 38 via 21 connections. Graph: http://b-otc.com/stg?source=mircea_popescu&dest=copumpkin | WoT data: http://b-otc.com/vrd?nick=copumpkin | Rated since: Mon Jun 20 16:53:19 2011
mircea_popescu: it works better like this :
mircea_popescu: sheldonthomas trying to decide if you should trust yourself ?
gribble: WARNING: Currently not authenticated. Trust relationship from user sheldonthomas to user sheldonthomas: Level 1: 0, Level 2: 0 via 0 connections. Graph: http://b-otc.com/stg?source=sheldonthomas&dest=sheldonthomas | WoT data: http://b-otc.com/vrd?nick=sheldonthomas | Rated since: never
mircea_popescu: what's more, they're stupid in their own private personal ways, which differ from hers, even should she "feel" it's not fair that should be the case.
mircea_popescu: dude how come every single obnoxious bitch out there imagines she's entitled to misrepresent her broken mental processes as "a problem of women everywhere" ?
mircea_popescu: ” Despite its generally female-friendly environment, Horvath claims that she had “a really hard time getting used to the culture, the aggressive communication on pull requests and how little the men [she] worked with respected and valued [her] opinion.”
ozbot: User talk:5.153.234.66 - WoWWiki - Your guide to the World of Warcraft
mircea_popescu: no this is a different one.
copumpkin: omg you participate in that program too?
mircea_popescu: has it been started 2 weeks ago through lying on a common bank application, all constructed on the basis of some material a website mailed you ?
copumpkin: mircea_popescu: I know what. I have this LLC I use for money laundering and it's super profitable. If you pay me 10k btc, I'll let you list it on your exchange.
mircea_popescu: so guise, we need to sit together and come up with a strategy to attract more dudes who don't know who they are but suspect it may be ceo in this thing of ours.
kakobrekla: i only got 173 less than you.
mircea_popescu: dudes gotta come off their pipe.
copumpkin: never mind that nobody uses either of them, at least he can use them
Apocalyptic: "decentralized exchange" // I guess this guy has it all
chetty: its the modern form of the gentlemans club :P
datz_: ok darn so IRC is too cheeky and suspicious to let me list here. don't say i didn't offer you the opportunity. will just have to stick with my own decentralized exchange :)
mircea_popescu: tcp/ip is shit for that matter.
copumpkin: the tech is shit
copumpkin: mircea_popescu: not sure if you're being sarcastic, but I actually do think it's a pretty great thing
mircea_popescu: copumpkin i guess it's kinda difficult for outsiders to realise just how deep, powerful and far reaching irc is.
copumpkin: mircea_popescu: please allow me to fellate you
mircea_popescu: im getting carpal over here just downloading all these cookies.
mircea_popescu: and now for the hardest task of all : to attend to my 173 messages inbox, which so far all consist of "hey you're so cool!"
copumpkin: so I never talk to people in person anymore
datz_: why i don't use IRC or have trust here
copumpkin: hey, this guy I spoke to once pickpocketed me
Apocalyptic: how is that relevant ?
datz_: so i don;t trust people on IRC
copumpkin: I've built my own chat programs but nobody is on them :P
copumpkin: datz_: IRC isn't about the platform, it's about who you find on it
copumpkin: yeah, this ain't glbse ya know
datz_: we have two exchanges, a betting platform, an insurance platform, an investment platform, a credit and wallet platform, a chat platform - all in one
mircea_popescu: datz_ thats nice, but listing is purely a fiduciary exercise. you have to be trusted, for which you have to be known. so you know, spend a year reading the logs.
datz_: we have 5 additional people we need to hire
datz_: we want to pay homage and do a funding round on MPEX
mircea_popescu: well, some trust would help. who are you ?
gribble: WARNING: Currently not authenticated. Trust relationship from user mircea_popescu to user datz_: Level 1: 0, Level 2: 0 via 0 connections. Graph: http://b-otc.com/stg?source=mircea_popescu&dest=datz_ | WoT data: http://b-otc.com/vrd?nick=datz_ | Rated since: never
mircea_popescu: i've been interacted to all hell
mircea_popescu: holy shit... i go on twitter, "76 new interactions"
mircea_popescu: datz_ there's a link on the website, check topic
pizzaman1337: matthew_boyd: "worth more than Berkshire" doesn't accurately describe the bet, at all: http://bitbet.us/bet/786/bitcoin-to-surpass-berkshire-as-an-investment/
LordPutin: thatpoor guy is going to loose 1000 btc :/
matthew_boyd: mircea_popescu: did you put a 1000 btc bet that Bitcoin would be worth more than Bershire?
assbot: [HAVELOCK] [B.MINE] [PAID] 2.30790962 BTC to 3`901 shares, 59162 satoshi per share
mircea_popescu: http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/ < look, it's on the hotlist.
mircea_popescu: i thought he won't bet because all he had was a 25 bitcent share.
mircea_popescu: make the thing he died for die with him.
mircea_popescu: s just... worst fucking thing you can do in memory of someone who died
mircea_popescu: i loved senna too. it
jurov: ThickAsThieves: i hope that's not related to teh bitbet :P
TomServo: mircea_popescu: so if someone dies this year, you back in? :D
mircea_popescu: "Holy moly - someone bet 1000 xbt. Is that you, Roger?"
ThickAsThieves: i think they also got distracted by Ultimate Fighting
mircea_popescu: it's just... once they made it safer it became whatever.
mircea_popescu: TomServo hey, what can i tell you. it's not that i didn't like it because they made safer
ThickAsThieves: wrestling got stupid when it tried to mature
jurov: The exp tends to fall to most inconvenient times
jurov: And sorry for all coinbr X.EUR holders, y'all will be sorted out tonight
TomServo: mircea_popescu: I don't see the harm in making it a bit safer, the danger is still present