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ozbot: Dilbert comic strip for 04/02/2014 from the official Dilbert comic strips archive.
bounce: it's a bit dishonest, really. like the nth level manager proclaiming he did all the work. much rather he'd just admit others did the work, he just make the work effective. which is nothing to sneeze at if done well.
mircea_popescu: bounce so they propose. like you know, the plowing fly proposes its exertions drive the ox.
wywialm: hope we'll continue this fascinating discussion sometime later, i'll be going now
bounce: well, aren't they the drivers of the economy? so money raked in and tossed out is driving the economy, surely?
bounce: (at least what little I've seen of economists... let's see if I still have that impression in a year or so, say)
wywialm: thats funny that govt always points to costs and expenditures as something inherently positive
bounce: governments tend to do that. but how does the premium between us and eu gov'ts compare?
mircea_popescu: this and other imbalances make it so that the usg can not actually afford to compete in this particular market.
mircea_popescu: i buy at a discount, often significant. they buy at a premium, always significant.
mircea_popescu: the quietly glossed over point being, of course, that a dollar of usg spending does not buy it a dollar of rl value.
mircea_popescu: which brings in an interesting side point : recently the us propaganda press ran a story comparing military spending, showing the us as the sum of europe and other states.
bounce: economists do tend to get a bit hung up on solutions without really getting down to the structure of the underlying drivers
mircea_popescu: bounce it can not possibly afford to pay people that can outcompete us in teaching.
mircea_popescu: it does get complicated real quick just as soon as one tries to take the theoretical model to the actual market
bounce: you're saying the us gov't *cannot possibly* learn?
mircea_popescu: it's part of my evil strategy of preventing the usg from ever mattering in this space.
wywialm: and i believe the 0..inf is never an option, the dumping winners can charge only a monopoly rent afterwards, having erected (rather weak) barriers to entry
mircea_popescu: we're dumping the shit out of high-end btc education in this chan, for instance.
wywialm: but the product differentiation is a good defense against dumping, as it can work only in very simple markets, food and education is not one of them
mircea_popescu: same for all the ff chains.
mircea_popescu: in fact, mcdonalss DOES sell for free in most of the us, it does more business as a proxy for usg welfare than anything else.
mircea_popescu: wywialm it is not dumping the whole sector. even if mcdonald sold for free i wouldn't patronise them. i stll eat at good restaurants.
mircea_popescu: european style towns where commercial and residential zones are not separated are rare in the us
mircea_popescu: this is why the us sucks, basically. it, not having ancient microstructure in place, turned into a sprawl hellhole
wywialm: have a look at education, for example - govt is permanently dumping the sector, there are no expectations to the reversal of the course and yet it doesn't manage to win the whole market
bounce: it's not quite 0..inf but it does happen all the time
mircea_popescu: phase 1 lasts 3-5 years, and is actually evaluated as part of the financing of a new development.
bounce: and regularly attack each other with the same trick afterward
mircea_popescu: they take advantage of the captive market they created, afterwards.
mircea_popescu: it's how supermarkets work, fundamentally, all across the world. they drive out small shops in phase 1, with low prices
wywialm: as a theoretical possiblity - i agree. but empirically, i have never seen it done
mircea_popescu: not necessarily strong enough for it to happen too often, or even at all. but factually, it does exist.
mircea_popescu: there does in fact exist *an* economical reason for things to play out that way.
mircea_popescu: yes, but as a model, this is the economical reason you were asking for earlier.
mircea_popescu: this goes against that.
wywialm: well, it's very conditional of market organisation - barriers to entry for example
mircea_popescu: and moreover, the entire point of the economy is to close the zero-infinity price window as soon as possible.
mircea_popescu: one is that a competition on operational efficiency has been transformed in a simple financial competition of "who can support dumping longer"
mircea_popescu: this will drive new competitors in the market, of crouse, but the system has two major problems :
mircea_popescu: however, if dumping is allowed, then company Y could sell product X for 0. inasmuch as none of its competitors have more money in the bank, they would necessarily go out of business.
mircea_popescu: whoever manages to produce x as defined cheapest wins most of the market.
mircea_popescu: admitting for the sake of argument that competition happens on measurable parameters of defined products, all businesses will normally compete on operational efficiency
mircea_popescu: wywialm let me formalise it for the sake of public discussion.
wywialm: at least partially, and as far as i managed to research it, i believe it's a non-issue, perhaps you could point to something convincing me to believe otherwise?
bounce: basic healt care at any rate. the frivolous stuff, less so. and there's always the risk of glossing over the rare but expensive medical cases
wywialm: and regarding emergency medicine: i agree with mircea_popescu, adding that the most probable explanation for this are large economies of scale and perhaps public good as well
mircea_popescu: bounce there's no solve all, outside of poincarre's.
bounce: so I'll buy that as a vivid example of getting the right knowledge at the right place, but don't buy the form as a solve-all.
mircea_popescu: wywialm you familiar with the dumping issue ?
bounce: heh. guilds have the same problem as, well, anything else that gets power. it tends to become more important to hold onto power (by whichever means) which eventually might come at the cost of the thing they exist for
wywialm: bounce: i can't see any economic justification for things turning that way. The evolution of PT in Poland is a direct proof to the contrary - a few efficient contractors in the bigger cities and between them, successfully coping with ever-increasing regulation
mircea_popescu: (for the exotically curious : parliament passed a law, guy went on tv to say the law fucking sucks, president called in to say well why didn't you tell me! let's iron it out!". it was a sight, the whole thing. )
mircea_popescu: this is pretty much how the guilds ran things, back when european economy actually worked. it's how romania runs emergency medicine, thge guy's name is raed arafat.
mircea_popescu: bounce the only way i see this to be approachable is the medieval method (still used in romania for emergency medicine say) : you hire a boss. he does whatever he wants.
VanCleef: i think SatoshiIsland needs some sort of governence but it should be like a company where you hire people for the positions via very complicated hard test, previous background and experiences and these positions should be interchangable every year and performance based
mircea_popescu: public transportation is perhaps the best way to drive that entire argument.
bounce: or public health. you could provide good basic service to the entire population at a reasonable price (hidden in the tax bill), but if it has to be "market driven" you're certainly not going to get that. and that when it's to everyone's benefit that the workforce is healthy.
mircea_popescu: bounce that's actually a great example.
mircea_popescu: omfg, this is beyond cute. the derps on tardstalk actually tried to like... fud s.mpoe ?!
bounce: say, public transport. first you end up with lots of PT companies doing their thing and a right jumble it is. then the state steps in and puts it all under one umbrella. N years later it gets a bug up the old bum about privatisation and you end up with lots of little companies again... and worse service to higher cost.
mircea_popescu: this would be the first time reddit scammed teh btc public then ?
bounce: though clearly enough often enough the government has no clue either way and everyone suffers
bounce: well, you know. there's things that look like economics but are more important in other respects, and so the state might well step in and run the show.
wywialm: but still - i'd opt for a government scandinavian style that is just fiscally opressive but much less tries to mix with the rules
mircea_popescu: which is teh deep reason the western world slid into socialism past century or so.
mircea_popescu: anyway, as technology frees more and more time, people can't resist the temptation to try and feel it with a delusion that they actually matter.
wywialm: you're very right on the govt contracts stuff, but i suppose the regulatory burden is much heavier for the economy than plain old fiscal intervention
mircea_popescu: wywialm i know you aren't, but stating it for teh record.
mircea_popescu: and for that matter they are well aware of this, hence the entire "conquer education by federal grant" programme past 20 years
mircea_popescu: merely the presence of "government contracts" in the us renders entire sectors state controlled/planned
mircea_popescu: we don't buy that in court, so why would we buy it otherwise.
wywialm: mircea_popescu: great comparison - though, the keynesian would maintain that the girl's always willing, only sometimes too shy to ask
mircea_popescu: well, is .com the relevant tld for trilema ?
mircea_popescu: turbo_ac100 i don't think it makes much difference.
turbo_ac100: Does google rank your site worse if I dont have the relevant TLD and do geotargeting only with webmaster tools?
mircea_popescu: like if you keep a girl tied to a post in your basement and only rape her when she's not... willing, i guess you'd call it ?
mircea_popescu: or post in thread or something
mircea_popescu: btw, someone with a forum account drop a line to salty / the artist
wywialm: well, socialism sometimes vs socialism always is a difference even in principle and not only in quantity - the market is still the default in keynesianism
ozbot: Hitler MP pe Trilema - Un blog de Mircea Popescu.
dexx: > they used a blow torch to try to cut open the bomb
mircea_popescu: wywialm i fail to distinguish socialism and keynesianism myself.
VanCleef: few? that's too many
dexx: how comes i have the impression there are only very few successful bitcoin businesses?
MisterE: Bust out the plasma cutter and cut it open of course... http://news.yahoo.com/bangkok-scrap-workers-killed-opening-suspected-ww2-bomb-102333123--finance.html
VanCleef: ima make a lil list of the last 2 years anyway
wywialm: mircea_popescu: isn't it socialism and not keynesianism? afaik keynesianism is "the state is THE key economic driver of innovation, prosperity and social mobility" but only when there are aggregate demand defficiencies
VanCleef: might take a while heh
VanCleef: time to update it mp
bounce: seems to me a bit of a mistaking the road for the horse
mircea_popescu: austrian school holds exactly the opposite to be true. back when the us-uk alliance consisted of reagan and thatcher, the exact opposite was widely held in... amusinglyt.... the same economist circles.
bounce: ``Now, whilst some might welcome the reduction in the state caused by a loss of taxation, the state is THE key economic driver of innovation, prosperity and social mobility.'' -- this widely accepted in economists' circles?
VanCleef: i only get till 28th of september 2012 mp
mircea_popescu: aand all caught up. that wasnt so very bad huh.
mircea_popescu: VanCleef: someone should make a list of all the fails this year << not such a bad idea. http://trilema.com/2012/the-bitcoin-drama-timeline/ only goes june 2011-dec 2012. there's all of 2013 to cover, plus a chunk of 2014
mircea_popescu: so did neobee finally issue that vaunted first quarterly statement that really shoulda been the third ?
mircea_popescu: Ken` actually they just might.
mircea_popescu: nubbins`: but i'm not about to buy a coin off some random noob with no trust ;p <<< ajaahaha the moment we've all been waioting for. nubsy baby, maybe buy it FOR ATC ?!?!?!?!
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform: it is always one thing to read a philosophical bit, and another to taste it on one's sorry skin << do tell ?