log☇︎
407600+ entries in 0.122s
mircea_popescu: lmao what the fucking hell
mircea_popescu: "We had the study of the hotel room dedicated to our dealing desk, which included precision scales, and storage containers for all kinds of valuables. EUR 50 (and below) notes will be weighted as well as the gold and silver, 100-500 notes are counted."
mircea_popescu: lol i am defeated
mircea_popescu: asciilifeform that one ever worked in practice ?
mircea_popescu: (of which one's the mother of the other two by the sour mouth)
mircea_popescu: also : he deleted his post going "here is proof that at least 3 women attended" ?!
mircea_popescu: why not whoever other bitcoin jezuz
mircea_popescu: why not maxkeiser ? why not mega ?
mircea_popescu: why does everyone think he;'s trying to spoof me ?
mircea_popescu: well then go for maria too
mircea_popescu: jurov the part where he goes "I purposely omitted people not in this forum from the list." but then invites me is pretty cool.
mircea_popescu: mjr___ seems you're not on his invite list.
mircea_popescu: kakobrekla roflmao
mircea_popescu: ThickAsThieves you seem id'd now
mircea_popescu: we already had a round earlier, when he was inviting me goat and satoshi
mircea_popescu: ty
mircea_popescu: jurov link ?
mircea_popescu: it's good for health
mircea_popescu: well why doesn't he register!
mircea_popescu: lolk
mircea_popescu: a kk.
mircea_popescu: SoulKhan do i know you from twitter ?
mircea_popescu: well if you believe the oix...
mircea_popescu: !t m ^oix
mircea_popescu: ;;ticker
mircea_popescu: lmao insanely bleak advice
mircea_popescu: https://code.google.com/p/google-glass-kernel-source/
mircea_popescu: well not that seriously :D
mircea_popescu: well wtf is it
mircea_popescu: then we identify the dogs.
mircea_popescu: take pics
mircea_popescu: well ya
mircea_popescu: benkay conspiraci!
mircea_popescu: apparently even posting pics takes > 1 week and even so it's mostly selfouting
mircea_popescu: talking about benkay's eternal secrecy.
mircea_popescu: i wonder how long it takes till everyone is identified
mircea_popescu: lol
mircea_popescu: this after me asking her if she knows about picture taking which i think she misunderstood as being asked whether she;'d like to pose for us
mircea_popescu: and she got all blushed up
mircea_popescu: jurov actually when i paid on saturday i left a tip saying "and this is for excellent photographic services" poiting at the little cute girl that took pics
mircea_popescu: haha
mircea_popescu: what do you need romanian lawyer for anyway ?
mircea_popescu: lol
mircea_popescu: money girl.
mircea_popescu: anyway, girl next to the lawyer is the cfo
mircea_popescu: jurov lol. he's not very english friendly
mircea_popescu: crop that for instance.
mircea_popescu: http://polimedia.us/dtng/c/src/134679696766.jpg
mircea_popescu: kakobrekla you need a better forum avatar.
mircea_popescu: wait what ?
mircea_popescu: lmao. basically people think cheek equals business nao
mircea_popescu: e product to 75,000 and then to 50,000 units (for a more targeted customer base). Birchbox only wanted to pay for a purchase order of 400 units after receiving 50,000 units for free.
mircea_popescu: “Birchbox requested 300,000 units of a product for free; in return, they said that could offer a conservative purchase order of 400 units for that product if it was received well by their sampling audience.” Birchbox also requested a special sample size, which Ms. Chan would need to create, that would yield at least 3 uses of the product. After Ms. Chan negotiated with them, they lowered the amount of requested fre
mircea_popescu: fear, greed, cleverness
mircea_popescu: ya well, sometimes those curves meet
mircea_popescu: that'll make you money in that scenario
mircea_popescu: ThickAsThieves so then sell short puts/calls
mircea_popescu: (if these numbers are worth a shit at all)
mircea_popescu: the call side cost to hedge the bond is then 7%
mircea_popescu: so they cost like 70 btc.
mircea_popescu: i mean 1000 these
mircea_popescu: O.USD.C302T for instance will make about .25 each if price goes there. so you need 100 these
mircea_popescu: ;;calc 132*3
mircea_popescu: 132*3
mircea_popescu: ;;ticker
mircea_popescu: and puts that make 250 btc if price goes down 60%
mircea_popescu: so then you need calls that will make 250 btc if price goes up 3x
mircea_popescu: if past data is any indication, say a 200% upswing or 60% downswing causes losses of about 25%
mircea_popescu: no but let's run a model here. so, 1k btc bond.
mircea_popescu: i am suspecting the bot is exactly right because everyone agrees price is making them lose money
mircea_popescu: ThickAsThieves well listen you can't BOTH be losers.
mircea_popescu: yeah i know...
mircea_popescu: course all this is becoming rather complicated.
mircea_popescu: as in, buy some options on the same package as the bond. maybe everyone buying shares gets to vote which way to go, calls or puts
mircea_popescu: jurov maybe an idea is to get a limited hedging involved.
mircea_popescu: that's it, one full year of dividends ftw.
mircea_popescu: nope
mircea_popescu: lol
mircea_popescu: yeah.
mircea_popescu: not how long it works
mircea_popescu: well other than that i was answering the q of how long im doing something
mircea_popescu: it may be true, but it may not help you.
mircea_popescu: just making the point that information will leak is this proposition of statistics
mircea_popescu: ya, eventually all information will leak which is why you know who killed kennedy or w/e
mircea_popescu: some people met in person lol. some haven't. each his cup of tea
mircea_popescu: it's infinity.
mircea_popescu: since i'm doing it it's not 0. unless some sort of obvious 1 hits me over the head
mircea_popescu: 0/1/infinity is the rule
mircea_popescu: other than that, some people don't care, which is why you get the names/mugs of some people.
mircea_popescu: now, the coders are often uninterested in talking to the public.
mircea_popescu: that's as to why you will likely never know who's on my short list of people i talk to / scream at / with on macroeconomic topics, finance etc.
mircea_popescu: which is, secretly.
mircea_popescu: ws people were involved since 2011/early 2012, in the only way they could be.
mircea_popescu: so, to round this up : for all the bullshit "we're getting ws involved" coming out of purely puff style start-ups like coin-whatever,
mircea_popescu: so if it's dubious, then it's not gettiong ok.
mircea_popescu: now. the compliance officer is NEVER going to ok something like "bitcoin". because he only ok's on positive factual knowledge it's ok.
mircea_popescu: people (actual people in this chan) have been sacked for nonsense like, telling a reporter they make a lot of money and are living the life.
mircea_popescu: this includes things like giving interviews even.
mircea_popescu: w/o clearing it with the compliance officer.
mircea_popescu: the rule - simplified - is that nobody can get involved into ANYTHING related to their day job even vaguely