log☇︎
314900+ entries in 2.896s
mircea_popescu: "Luke Jr. was not only evasive in the thread linked, but he also went out of his way to deceive. He also deserves a scammer tag IMO, but I guess that's a seperate matter."
mircea_popescu: "The Obama administration is engaged in a broad push to make more home loans available to people with weaker credit"
mjr_: (more accurately in the series a song of ice and fire)
gribble: (avgprc <currency> <timeframe>) -- Returns volume-weighted average price data from MtGox. <currency> is a three-letter currency code, <timeframe> is the time window for the average, and can be '24h', '7d', or '30d'.
Bugpowder: driving a new truck
gribble: MtGox lag is 8.573174 seconds. During this time, light travels 0.017180544706 AU. You could have sent a bitcoin one full loop along the orbit of the Moon around Earth (0.016 AU).
KRS1337: have a good one =D
mjr_: anyway, i have to do some work, but i like the anarchy of a free market, whatever happens is supposed to happen, how well you do depends on your skill and risk profile
mjr_: gox would be like a layer 4
mjr_: for example, if i have a gox account, and everyone trusts gox, they can take my transaction without even hitting the blockchain
KRS1337: i dont see the network at this point to keep up with transactional data sufficient for btc to be a currency..doubt it will evar be there =(
mircea_popescu: let's get back to what the blaze does well, cause btc not rly : http://www.theblaze.com/stories/2013/04/03/man-who-gave-birth-to-three-babies-unsuccessfully-begs-for-a-divorce-in-this-odd-legal-conundrum/
mjr_: as in, pulling off a successful double spend in real life after a face to face transaction is probably very difficult, AND not worht it
mjr_: its not even that i trust you as a person
KRS1337: like..it takes a while sometimes to transfer btc just from one point to another
KRS1337: i never understood how ppl can call it a currency, maybe theres something im not understanding.
mjr_: bitcoin is layer 2, maybe 3 in a financial OSI model
mircea_popescu: Italian police have seized a record (EURO)1.3 billion ($1.7 billion) in cash and property from a single person, a Sicilian alternative energy entrepreneur alleged to have close ties to the Mafia.
mircea_popescu: that thinfg is becoming a study in creative ways to fail
bgupta: with a 1.3 billion marketcap?
bgupta: I tend to agree, that there is a share of people out there buying this shit with money they can't afford to lose. Including So EU folks. However, I do wonder if "real money" will at some point also chose to dip their toes in the water?
mircea_popescu: it could have been a fucking vase.
mjr_: that is a hundred million dollars more in the bitcoin economy
mircea_popescu: people with a clue priced out of the market by the lemming mania isn't quite as great,
mjr_: but this is what i was saying...if everyone tomorrow says "i heard of this thing called bitcoin, i will get 1 bitcoin" and there are a million of them
mjr_: they are not a large part, but as a group they make up a large portion
mjr_: like saying every person who works a minimum wage job is not part of US economy
mircea_popescu: this is just a bunch of poor and desperate people who are unemployed and stuck with their computer in a barely furnished apartment
mjr_: every person buying one bitcoin not only gets one bitcoin they also create a positive externality
mircea_popescu: whereas there's much larger ones painting a diff picture.
mjr_: and creating a platform for the next person to see that it now makes sense for them
mircea_popescu: economies of scale are a property of production
mjr_: i may not be a long term believer
mjr_: i now own a bitcoin...i am a part of the bitcoin economy
mircea_popescu: by that logic every time i pay a waitress i'm getting married
mjr_: and as it looks like a "sure thing" that number will increase
mjr_: how can i not buy a bitcoin? i guaranttee i can buy one right now
mjr_: i have x amount of cash, i CAN buy a bitcoin
mircea_popescu: mjr_ yeah. and every single guy could get a hot girl
gribble: A market order to sell 100000 bitcoins right now would net 7998039.7682 USD and would take the last price down to 36.0500 USD, resulting in an average price of 79.9804 USD/BTC. | Data vintage: 0.0044 seconds
mircea_popescu: thus a classical bubble.
mircea_popescu: so basicvally... any dollar over 100 anyone pays on a btc is a dollar lost.
Bugpowder: getting tempted of shaving of a bit
mjr_: "You need to be a special kind of an idiot to implement system as slow and fucked up as mtgox's." -reddit
mircea_popescu: in that a bunch of noobs / "daytraders" in their own mind are cycling the same btc among each other at the exchanges
mircea_popescu: this is a very dangerous non=participatory run-up by now
jurov: lol, there's a deposit queue on coinbr, too
mircea_popescu: haha what a turn lol
mjr_: lol that is a great point jurov
mjr_: from my perspective, what survives is what should have survived, a little tautological i know, but that is how the world works
mjr_: VHS was more fit than BetaMax, even though it was worse as a technology
mjr_: TradeFortress: i agree...but in a capitalistic sense, you can choose what people offer or make your own, i think for long term adoption backward compatiblity is of course necessary
TradeFortress: mjr_ backward compatibity should be a right IMO
mjr_: TradeFortress: you can create your own version that gives you what you like about v3 and make it compatible...this is my point, software is not a right
TradeFortress: mircea_popescu, that is a problem when there's really only one bitcoin client
mircea_popescu: a. i am your regulator, if you don't i'll fuck you with my nonsensical regulations
ChaangNoi: i was not picking a side here, just correcting what was said
TradeFortress: mircea_popescu, I'm guessing owner bet a lot of coins on them shipping.
mircea_popescu: TradeFortress draw ? how is it a draw ?!
mjr_: a choice for the status quo
mjr_: well...i think there is always a choice, but i also think most are too stupid to make one, but no choice is a choice
mircea_popescu: mjr_ i don't think they had a choice tbh.
bgupta: and when deepbit got close to 50% a bunch of miners left
bgupta: well you can chose a particular pool...
mircea_popescu: there's a lot of weakness baked in at all junctures.
mircea_popescu: everyone uses a pool because that's what you do
mircea_popescu: except nobody chooses to use a pool
mjr_: and everyone who chooses to use a pool
mjr_: oh i agree its a problem
mircea_popescu: so it's a problem, all i'm sayin'.
mircea_popescu: a move was made that was irrational.
mjr_: but i think they took into account the fact that a fork could have damaged their long term gains into account
mircea_popescu: the btc guild guy made a choice that cost his miners ~1-2k btc
mircea_popescu: a, yes. my statement above suffers.
bgupta: mircea_popescu: You are correct I don't understand.. I only understand the technical issue with the fork, not the economic or social implications.. is there a more theorough analysis out there?
mircea_popescu: bgupta i agree that a correctly functioning bitcoin would have been fucked in that situation, and so "good" that it was broken.
TradeFortress: strangely how it went down after me & a few members requested large withdrawls.
bgupta: the loss of distributed mining is a big issue
bgupta: eh, they dodged a bullet, (IE: were lucky) and Bitcoin foundation chief made losing fork folks whole. And they figured out how to avoid issue in future.
mircea_popescu: take the recent fork disaster. it being passed off as a great success, what's that ?
mircea_popescu: it's a pointless dog to chase atm, we have much bigger problems
bgupta: mircea_popescu: Do you find bitcoincharts down a lot or is this unusal?
mircea_popescu: a lol
mjr_: maybe lag is a feature not a bug?
mjr_: not a bad day for gox
bgupta: I was actually wondering if it would work to setup a subsidiary of a US company to do the trading.. and report the profits overseas in a low tax environment.
gribble: MtGox lag is 119.238373 seconds. During this time, light travels 0.238952364433 AU. You could have sent a bitcoin between Earth and Venus at their closest approach (0.254 AU).
bgupta: I don't plan to use btc/fiat echanges any time soon, at least not gox.. as I'm in US and the whole rcoinlab thing seems a shame
ChaangNoi: a lotof btc transactions happen outside of an exchange, ihave not use an exchange in well over a year (other than btc-e for ltc)
mircea_popescu: was about 10mn for a while neh ?
bgupta: for a site that is prety broken..
mircea_popescu: atm they're struggling to keep a third.
mircea_popescu: bgupta they had something like 70% a year ago.
TradeFortress: you'd see all the "LTC is faster!" guys complain that their TX isn't making it into a block
TradeFortress: bgupta, yup gox has a history of lag
bgupta: is lag a constant thing?
ChaangNoi: want to make a bet? :)
dub: nmc does a lot more than ltc
dub: its not a rumour anymore
gribble: MtGox lag is 76.788317 seconds. During this time, light travels 0.153882927503 AU. You could have sent a bitcoin ten times between Jupiter and Callisto (0.12567 AU).